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Lichtenberg vs SC Staaken Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Mattmuller J.
30' Event
Noack W.
43' Event
Graf H.

AI Match Summary

Lichtenberg in this Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lichtenberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Lichtenberg
15%
Draws
42%
SC Staaken
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lichtenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Lichtenberg have won more games recently than SC Staaken.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Lichtenberg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lichtenberg here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Lichtenberg Clean Sheet 20%
SC Staaken Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lichtenberg SC Staaken
Matches Played 37 33
Wins 23 12
Draws 5 3
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 2.46 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.49 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2025 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Lichtenberg vs SC Staaken
5:1
Sep 1, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
SC Staaken vs Lichtenberg
0:2
Jun 2, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
SC Staaken vs Lichtenberg
1:6
Nov 25, 2023 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Lichtenberg vs SC Staaken
4:0
May 4, 2019 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Lichtenberg vs SC Staaken
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lichtenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Mattmuller J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Graf H.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

SC Staaken Compare

Top Goalscorer Koschnik D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lichtenberg 85 / 100
SC Staaken 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lichtenberg SC Staaken

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lichtenberg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lichtenberg's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

SC Staaken's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Lichtenberg stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lichtenberg VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lichtenberg

(Home)
25 Sept
TB Berlin
0 : 1
Lichtenberg
19 Sept
Lichtenberg
2 : 0
TUS Makkabi
13 Sept
Stendal
1 : 0
Lichtenberg
30 Aug
Lichtenberg
2 : 0
Hertha Zehlendorf
16 Aug
Klosterfelde
2 : 1
Lichtenberg
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SC Staaken

(Away)
17 Jan
Rsv Eintracht
5 : 2
SC Staaken
07 Jun
SC Staaken
2 : 0
Wismut Gera
04 Jun
Wismut Gera
1 : 2
SC Staaken
31 May
Berliner AK 07
2 : 0
SC Staaken
23 May
SC Staaken
2 : 0
Wismar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BFC Preussen 30 20 7 3 77:22 67
2 Lichtenberg 30 20 6 4 88:28 66
3 Mahlsdorf 30 20 6 4 82:32 66
4 Hansa Rostock II 30 19 3 8 96:46 60
5 TUS Makkabi 30 13 9 8 60:41 48
6 Sparta Lichtenberg 30 14 6 10 76:66 48
7 TSG Neustrelitz 30 13 6 11 56:48 45
8 Berliner AK 07 30 12 8 10 50:37 44
9 TB Berlin 30 13 3 14 74:71 42
10 SV Tasmania Berlin 30 12 4 14 51:51 40
11 Dynamo Schwerin 30 11 3 16 51:68 36
12 Wismar 30 10 5 15 55:68 35
13 Rathenow 30 7 9 14 46:57 30
14 SC Staaken 30 9 2 19 48:73 29
15 Ahrensfelde 30 5 7 18 46:75 22
16 Rostocker FC 30 0 0 30 10:183 0
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation (Main)