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Lichtenrader vs Malchower

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2009/2010
Lichtenrader Logo

Lichtenrader

4 - 2
FT
Malchower Logo

Malchower

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lichtenrader in this Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lichtenrader.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Lichtenrader
15%
Draws
36%
Malchower
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lichtenrader

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Malchower haven't matched Lichtenrader's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lichtenrader a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Lichtenrader Clean Sheet 20%
Malchower Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lichtenrader Malchower
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 7 4
Draws 3 2
Losses 20 30
Goals Scored 1 1.19
Goals Conceded 2.57 3.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.67 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2010 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Malchower vs Lichtenrader
5:3
Nov 22, 2009 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Lichtenrader vs Malchower
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lichtenrader 85 / 100
Malchower 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lichtenrader Malchower

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lichtenrader Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malchower has conceded goals in 97% of their last 36 outings.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Malchower registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Lichtenrader's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Malchower
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 4.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lichtenrader

(Home)
13 Jun
FC Gera 03
2 : 0
Lichtenrader
06 Jun
Lichtenrader
1 : 1
FC Gera 03
29 May
Schoneiche
5 : 2
Lichtenrader
22 May
Lichtenrader
2 : 0
Rathenow
12 May
Malchower
5 : 3
Lichtenrader
Page 1 of 6

Malchower

(Away)
28 Jan
Malchower
1 : 2
TSG Neustrelitz
22 Jul
Malchower
4 : 2
Rathenow
05 Jul
Malchower
0 : 9
Hansa Rostock
26 Jun
Malchower
0 : 4
Hansa Rostock
08 Jun
Malchower
1 : 7
TB Berlin
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cottbus II 30 20 6 4 67:26 66
2 BFC Dynamo 30 17 7 6 70:40 58
3 Brandenburger 30 15 8 7 57:40 53
4 Luckenwalde 30 16 5 9 56:43 53
5 Malchower 30 15 8 7 47:35 53
6 TSG Neustrelitz 30 16 4 10 70:38 52
7 Rathenow 30 13 6 11 43:46 45
8 Torgelower Greif 30 12 8 10 46:35 44
9 Schoneiche 30 11 9 10 45:39 42
10 Berliner AK 07 30 12 6 12 53:51 42
11 Ludwigsfelder 30 10 6 14 42:52 36
12 LFC Berlin 30 8 8 14 40:51 32
13 Reinickendorfer 30 10 2 18 26:46 32
14 Lichtenrader 30 7 3 20 31:79 24
15 Greifswalder FC 30 6 5 19 38:66 23
16 SV Falkensee-Finkenkrug 30 4 5 21 25:69 17
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation 2009/2010 (Main)