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Lidzbark Warmimski vs LKS Lomza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lidzbark Warmimski host LKS Lomza in the III Liga - Group I. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. LKS Lomza have shipped 1.48 goals a game lately, while Lidzbark Warmimski have conceded 1.52 and scored 1.21. Head-to-head, Lidzbark Warmimski have won 1 to LKS Lomza's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 30, 2025, ending 2:3. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.44) point toward Lidzbark Warmimski. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Lidzbark Warmimski
20%
Draws
10%
LKS Lomza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lidzbark Warmimski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and LKS Lomza come out ahead of Lidzbark Warmimski on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lidzbark Warmimski's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Lidzbark Warmimski Clean Sheet 16%
LKS Lomza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lidzbark Warmimski LKS Lomza
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 11 4
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.21 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2025 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs Lidzbark Warmimski
2:3
Nov 8, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Lidzbark Warmimski vs LKS Lomza
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lidzbark Warmimski 84 / 100
LKS Lomza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lidzbark Warmimski LKS Lomza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lidzbark Warmimski Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Lidzbark Warmimski's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

LKS Lomza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Lidzbark Warmimski has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lidzbark Warmimski VS LKS Lomza
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lidzbark Warmimski

(Home)
03 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2
Lidzbark Warmimski
26 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 1
KTS Weszlo
19 Sept
Pelikan
1 : 0
Lidzbark Warmimski
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2
Warta Sieradz
06 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 3
Lidzbark Warmimski
Page 1 of 6

LKS Lomza

(Away)
03 Oct
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Olimpia Elblag
25 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0
LKS Lomza
18 Sept
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Zabkovia Zabki
12 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1
LKS Lomza
05 Sept
LKS Lomza
1 : 2
Jagiellonia II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Suwalki 11 6 4 1 19:10 22
3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 11 6 3 2 27:18 21
4 Pelikan 11 6 2 3 17:13 20
5 Swit Mazowiecki 11 6 2 3 20:12 20
6 Plock II 11 5 3 3 22:18 18
7 Zabkovia Zabki 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Jagiellonia II 10 4 3 3 22:20 15
9 Warta Sieradz 10 4 3 3 18:16 15
10 Widzew Lodz II 10 4 2 4 21:18 14
11 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
12 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
13 Olimpia Elblag 11 4 1 6 16:20 13
14 LKS Lodz II 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
15 MKS Mlawa 11 3 1 7 22:32 10
16 Lidzbark Warmimski 11 2 3 6 16:22 9
17 Troszyn 10 1 4 5 12:24 7
18 LKS Lomza 11 0 3 8 10:25 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)