Sport Picks
Lidzbark Warmimski vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group I 
Match Events
52'
52'
Sauczek C.
87'
87'
Bienias M.
Own Goal
89'
89'
Zych P.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group I game between Lidzbark Warmimski and Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki come out ahead of Lidzbark Warmimski on wins alone.
- Model gives Lidzbark Warmimski a 40% chance of winning this.
- Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Lidzbark Warmimski Clean Sheet 10%
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lidzbark Warmimski | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 2.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Lidzbark Warmimski vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lidzbark Warmimski Compare
Top Goalscorer Stawski J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Compare
Top Goalscorer Sauczek C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zych P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lidzbark Warmimski 47 / 100
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lidzbark Warmimski Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lidzbark Warmimski Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Lidzbark Warmimski scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Lidzbark Warmimski has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lidzbark Warmimski VS Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Lidzbark Warmimski
(Home) 10 Oct
Lidzbark Warmimski
3 : 2 LKS Lomza
03 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Lidzbark Warmimski
26 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 1 KTS Weszlo
19 Sept
Pelikan
1 : 0 Lidzbark Warmimski
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2 Warta Sieradz
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Lidzbark Warmimski
3 : 2 LKS Lomza
26 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 1 KTS Weszlo
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2 Warta Sieradz
29 Aug
Lidzbark Warmimski
2 : 2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
19 Aug
Lidzbark Warmimski
2 : 3 Olimpia Zambrow
Page 1 of 4
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
(Away) 10 Oct
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1 : 4 Pelikan
03 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 1 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
26 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Suwalki
19 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 2 Plock II
11 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
2 : 3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 1 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
11 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
2 : 3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
29 Aug
Lidzbark Warmimski
2 : 2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
19 Aug
Swit Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
08 Aug
Troszyn
1 : 4 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTS Weszlo | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26:10 | 29 |
| 2 | Suwalki | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:11 | 25 |
| 3 | Pelikan | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 28:22 | 21 |
| 5 | Plock II | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24:19 | 21 |
| 6 | Swit Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Zabkovia Zabki | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 24:22 | 16 |
| 9 | Olimpia Elblag | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:21 | 16 |
| 10 | Warta Sieradz | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:19 | 15 |
| 11 | LKS Lodz II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Widzew Lodz II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 21:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Olimpia Zambrow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 14 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21:23 | 13 |
| 15 | Lidzbark Warmimski | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | MKS Mlawa | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 23:34 | 10 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13:26 | 7 |
| 18 | LKS Lomza | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12:28 | 3 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
