Sport Picks
Match Events
24'
24'
Lesniewski S.
90'
90'
Bogdanski D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Plock II
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lidzbark Warmimski haven't matched Plock II's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Lidzbark Warmimski Clean Sheet 10%
Plock II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lidzbark Warmimski | Plock II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Lidzbark Warmimski vs Plock II
1:1
May 17, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Lidzbark Warmimski vs Plock II
2:1
Oct 20, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs Lidzbark Warmimski
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lidzbark Warmimski Compare
Top Goalscorer Bogdanski D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Plock II Compare
Top Goalscorer Lesniewski S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lidzbark Warmimski 30 / 100
Plock II 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lidzbark Warmimski Plock II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Plock II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Plock II conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.
Lidzbark Warmimski's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.67 goals.
Recent resilience: Lidzbark Warmimski stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lidzbark Warmimski VS Plock II
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Lidzbark Warmimski
(Home) 12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2 Warta Sieradz
06 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 3 Lidzbark Warmimski
29 Aug
Lidzbark Warmimski
2 : 2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
23 Aug
Widzew Lodz II
4 : 1 Lidzbark Warmimski
19 Aug
Lidzbark Warmimski
2 : 3 Olimpia Zambrow
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2 Warta Sieradz
29 Aug
Lidzbark Warmimski
2 : 2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
19 Aug
Lidzbark Warmimski
2 : 3 Olimpia Zambrow
15 Aug
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 1 Plock II
01 Aug
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2 Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 3
Plock II
(Away) 12 Sept
Plock II
2 : 2 LKS Lodz II
06 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
0 : 2 Plock II
01 Sept
Plock II
0 : 2 Puszcza
29 Aug
Plock II
5 : 3 MKS Mlawa
23 Aug
Olimpia Zambrow
4 : 3 Plock II
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
0 : 2 Plock II
23 Aug
Olimpia Zambrow
4 : 3 Plock II
15 Aug
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 1 Plock II
31 Jul
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 2 Plock II
23 May
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 3 Plock II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTS Weszlo | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 20:5 | 22 |
| 2 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 23:13 | 17 |
| 3 | Plock II | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18:13 | 15 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia II | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 19:15 | 15 |
| 5 | Zabkovia Zabki | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 6 | Suwalki | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz II | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:11 | 13 |
| 8 | Pelikan | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 9 | Warta Sieradz | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Swit Mazowiecki | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 11 |
| 11 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17:18 | 10 |
| 12 | Olimpia Zambrow | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17:21 | 10 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 14 | LKS Lodz II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 15 | Troszyn | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:19 | 6 |
| 16 | Lidzbark Warmimski | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13:19 | 5 |
| 17 | MKS Mlawa | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12:24 | 4 |
| 18 | LKS Lomza | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:17 | 3 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
