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Lidzbark Warmimski vs Plock II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Lesniewski S.
90' Event
Bogdanski D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Lidzbark Warmimski
15%
Draws
37%
Plock II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lidzbark Warmimski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Lidzbark Warmimski haven't matched Plock II's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lidzbark Warmimski's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Lidzbark Warmimski Clean Sheet 16%
Plock II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lidzbark Warmimski Plock II
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Lidzbark Warmimski vs Plock II
1:1
May 17, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Lidzbark Warmimski vs Plock II
2:1
Oct 20, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs Lidzbark Warmimski
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lidzbark Warmimski Compare

Top Goalscorer Bogdanski D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Plock II Compare

Top Goalscorer Lesniewski S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lidzbark Warmimski 48 / 100
Plock II 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lidzbark Warmimski Plock II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lidzbark Warmimski Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Plock II conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Lidzbark Warmimski's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Lidzbark Warmimski stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lidzbark Warmimski VS Plock II
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lidzbark Warmimski

(Home)
30 Oct
Jagiellonia II
2 : 1
Lidzbark Warmimski
24 Oct
Lidzbark Warmimski
3 : 0
LKS Lodz II
17 Oct
MKS Mlawa
3 : 2
Lidzbark Warmimski
10 Oct
Lidzbark Warmimski
3 : 2
LKS Lomza
03 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2
Lidzbark Warmimski
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Plock II

(Away)
31 Oct
Pelikan
1 : 2
Plock II
24 Oct
Plock II
2 : 2
Zabkovia Zabki
17 Oct
Warta Sieradz
2 : 1
Plock II
10 Oct
Plock II
2 : 1
Troszyn
03 Oct
Suwalki
1 : 0
Plock II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 15 10 2 3 30:17 32
2 Suwalki 15 9 4 2 30:15 31
3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 15 8 3 4 36:28 27
4 Swit Mazowiecki 15 8 2 5 28:22 26
5 Zabkovia Zabki 15 7 4 4 29:23 25
6 Warta Sieradz 15 7 4 4 25:22 25
7 Plock II 15 7 4 4 29:24 25
8 Pelikan 15 7 3 5 25:22 24
9 Olimpia Zambrow 15 6 3 6 31:31 21
10 Jagiellonia II 15 5 5 5 27:27 20
11 Widzew Lodz II 15 5 4 6 28:25 19
12 LKS Lodz II 15 5 3 7 27:30 18
13 Olimpia Elblag 15 5 3 7 19:24 18
14 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 15 5 2 8 25:30 17
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 15 4 3 8 25:29 15
16 MKS Mlawa 15 4 2 9 28:41 14
17 Troszyn 15 3 5 7 17:30 14
18 LKS Lomza 15 0 4 11 16:35 4
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)