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Lidzbark Warmimski vs Swit Mazowiecki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Ruiz Benitez E. L.
86' Event
Kuzimski M.
90' Event
Domanski J.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I game between Lidzbark Warmimski and Swit Mazowiecki finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swit Mazowiecki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Lidzbark Warmimski
15%
Draws
48%
Swit Mazowiecki
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Swit Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Swit Mazowiecki carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lidzbark Warmimski are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Swit Mazowiecki have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Lidzbark Warmimski Clean Sheet 11%
Swit Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lidzbark Warmimski Swit Mazowiecki
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Lidzbark Warmimski vs Swit Mazowiecki
1:2
May 10, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Lidzbark Warmimski
1:1
Oct 12, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Lidzbark Warmimski vs Swit Mazowiecki
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lidzbark Warmimski Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuzimski M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Swit Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz Benitez E. L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Domanski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lidzbark Warmimski 35 / 100
Swit Mazowiecki 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lidzbark Warmimski Swit Mazowiecki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swit Mazowiecki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Lidzbark Warmimski scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Lidzbark Warmimski stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lidzbark Warmimski VS Swit Mazowiecki
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lidzbark Warmimski

(Home)
10 Oct
Lidzbark Warmimski
3 : 2
LKS Lomza
03 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2
Lidzbark Warmimski
26 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 1
KTS Weszlo
19 Sept
Pelikan
1 : 0
Lidzbark Warmimski
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2
Warta Sieradz
Page 1 of 6

Swit Mazowiecki

(Away)
10 Oct
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 7
LKS Lodz II
03 Oct
MKS Mlawa
2 : 4
Swit Mazowiecki
25 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0
LKS Lomza
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2
Swit Mazowiecki
12 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
0 : 1
KTS Weszlo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Suwalki 12 7 4 1 22:11 25
3 Pelikan 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 12 6 3 3 28:22 21
5 Plock II 12 6 3 3 24:19 21
6 Swit Mazowiecki 12 6 2 4 22:19 20
7 Zabkovia Zabki 11 5 2 4 21:20 17
8 Jagiellonia II 11 4 4 3 24:22 16
9 Olimpia Elblag 12 5 1 6 18:21 16
10 Warta Sieradz 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 Widzew Lodz II 10 4 2 4 21:18 14
12 LKS Lodz II 11 4 2 5 23:21 14
13 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
14 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 12 3 3 6 19:24 12
16 MKS Mlawa 12 3 1 8 23:34 10
17 Troszyn 11 1 4 6 13:26 7
18 LKS Lomza 12 0 3 9 12:28 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)