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Lidzbark Warmimski vs Troszyn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lidzbark Warmimski host Troszyn in the III Liga - Group I. Little to choose between these two on current form. Troszyn have shipped 1.47 goals a game lately, while Lidzbark Warmimski have conceded 1.69 and scored 1.31. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.31, favoring Troszyn. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Lidzbark Warmimski
15%
Draws
37%
Troszyn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lidzbark Warmimski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Lidzbark Warmimski haven't matched Troszyn's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lidzbark Warmimski's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Lidzbark Warmimski Clean Sheet 18%
Troszyn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lidzbark Warmimski Troszyn
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lidzbark Warmimski 58 / 100
Troszyn 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lidzbark Warmimski Troszyn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lidzbark Warmimski Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lidzbark Warmimski scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Troszyn conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Lidzbark Warmimski has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Troszyn's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lidzbark Warmimski VS Troszyn
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lidzbark Warmimski

(Home)
30 Oct
Jagiellonia II
2 : 1
Lidzbark Warmimski
24 Oct
Lidzbark Warmimski
3 : 0
LKS Lodz II
17 Oct
MKS Mlawa
3 : 2
Lidzbark Warmimski
10 Oct
Lidzbark Warmimski
3 : 2
LKS Lomza
03 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2
Lidzbark Warmimski
Page 1 of 6

Troszyn

(Away)
31 Oct
Troszyn
2 : 0
Olimpia Elblag
24 Oct
Swit Mazowiecki
3 : 0
Troszyn
18 Oct
Troszyn
1 : 1
Zabkovia Zabki
14 Oct
Jagiellonia II
0 : 1
Troszyn
10 Oct
Plock II
2 : 1
Troszyn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 15 10 2 3 30:17 32
2 Suwalki 15 9 4 2 30:15 31
3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 15 8 3 4 36:28 27
4 Swit Mazowiecki 15 8 2 5 28:22 26
5 Zabkovia Zabki 15 7 4 4 29:23 25
6 Warta Sieradz 15 7 4 4 25:22 25
7 Plock II 15 7 4 4 29:24 25
8 Pelikan 15 7 3 5 25:22 24
9 Olimpia Zambrow 15 6 3 6 31:31 21
10 Jagiellonia II 15 5 5 5 27:27 20
11 Widzew Lodz II 15 5 4 6 28:25 19
12 LKS Lodz II 15 5 3 7 27:30 18
13 Olimpia Elblag 15 5 3 7 19:24 18
14 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 15 5 2 8 25:30 17
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 15 4 3 8 25:29 15
16 MKS Mlawa 15 4 2 9 28:41 14
17 Troszyn 15 3 5 7 17:30 14
18 LKS Lomza 15 0 4 11 16:35 4
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)