Sport Picks
Lidzbark Warmimski vs Warta Sieradz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group I 
Match Events
7'
7'
Kozera D.
17'
17'
Swedrowski T.
53'
53'
Pietrzak S.
AI Match Summary
Warta Sieradz in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Warta Sieradz.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Warta Sieradz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Warta Sieradz lately — more wins on the board than Lidzbark Warmimski.
- Model gives Warta Sieradz a 37% chance of winning this.
- Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Lidzbark Warmimski Clean Sheet 10%
Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lidzbark Warmimski | Warta Sieradz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Lidzbark Warmimski vs Warta Sieradz
1:2
Apr 30, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Lidzbark Warmimski vs Warta Sieradz
2:1
Aug 10, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Lidzbark Warmimski
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lidzbark Warmimski Compare
Top Goalscorer Kozera D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Warta Sieradz Compare
Top Goalscorer Swedrowski T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pietrzak S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lidzbark Warmimski 26 / 100
Warta Sieradz 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lidzbark Warmimski Warta Sieradz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Warta Sieradz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Warta Sieradz has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.
Lidzbark Warmimski found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Lidzbark Warmimski went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lidzbark Warmimski VS Warta Sieradz
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Lidzbark Warmimski
(Home) 03 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Lidzbark Warmimski
26 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 1 KTS Weszlo
19 Sept
Pelikan
1 : 0 Lidzbark Warmimski
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2 Warta Sieradz
06 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 3 Lidzbark Warmimski
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 1 KTS Weszlo
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2 Warta Sieradz
29 Aug
Lidzbark Warmimski
2 : 2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
19 Aug
Lidzbark Warmimski
2 : 3 Olimpia Zambrow
15 Aug
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 1 Plock II
Page 1 of 3
Warta Sieradz
(Away) 09 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 3 Suwalki
03 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 1 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2 Olimpia Zambrow
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2 Warta Sieradz
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1 Olimpia Elblag
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2 Warta Sieradz
29 Aug
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 1 Warta Sieradz
19 Aug
Troszyn
1 : 4 Warta Sieradz
09 Aug
LKS Lodz II
0 : 1 Warta Sieradz
17 Jul
Kluczbork
1 : 3 Warta Sieradz
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTS Weszlo | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Suwalki | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:11 | 25 |
| 3 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 27:18 | 21 |
| 4 | Pelikan | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Swit Mazowiecki | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 6 | Plock II | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 22:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Zabkovia Zabki | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22:20 | 15 |
| 9 | Warta Sieradz | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:19 | 15 |
| 10 | Widzew Lodz II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 21:18 | 14 |
| 11 | Olimpia Zambrow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 12 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:20 | 13 |
| 14 | LKS Lodz II | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | 11 |
| 15 | MKS Mlawa | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 22:32 | 10 |
| 16 | Lidzbark Warmimski | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:22 | 9 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12:24 | 7 |
| 18 | LKS Lomza | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10:25 | 3 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
