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Lielupe vs Jekabpils SC

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2017
Mon, Jun 19, 2017
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Latvian Cup 2017. Jekabpils SC are expected to control this from the start. Jekabpils SC have shipped 2.43 goals a game lately, while Lielupe have conceded 3.94 and scored 1.41. Past meetings favor Jekabpils SC slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 22, 2017, ending 1:8. xG projections (2.00 - 1.75) back Jekabpils SC to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Lielupe
15%
Draws
64%
Jekabpils SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jekabpils SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Jekabpils SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Jekabpils SC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Jekabpils SC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Lielupe Clean Sheet 12%
Jekabpils SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lielupe Jekabpils SC
Matches Played 17 14
Wins 4 9
Draws 0 0
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.41 2.29
Goals Conceded 3.94 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2017 Latvian Cup
Lielupe vs Jekabpils SC
1:8
Jun 19, 2017 Latvian Cup
Lielupe vs Jekabpils SC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lielupe 30 / 100
Jekabpils SC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lielupe Jekabpils SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jekabpils SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jekabpils SC has conceded goals in 92% of their last 13 outings.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Lielupe scored in 76% of their last 17 games.

Recent resilience: Lielupe stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lielupe VS Jekabpils SC
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lielupe

(Home)
31 May
Lielupe
0 : 6
FK Metta
17 May
FK Union / JFK Daugava
5 : 0
Lielupe
02 Jun
Lielupe
1 : 2
Rigas Futbola Skola
17 May
Lielupe
5 : 1
Valka
12 Jun
Beitar
5 : 3
Lielupe
Page 1 of 4

Jekabpils SC

(Away)
15 Jul
Jekabpils SC
0 : 6
Alberts JDFS
23 Jun
Jekabpils SC
3 : 1
Ogre United
11 Jun
Jekabpils SC
:
FK Limbazi
27 May
Salaspils FK
1 : 3
Jekabpils SC
10 Jul
Skanste
6 : 1
Jekabpils SC
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Riga FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plavinas 2
FK Sirius 0
TBD -
Aliance -
DSVK Traktors 2
Salaspils FK 1
TBD -
Preilu BJSS -
Jekabpils SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Lielupe -
BFK Salaspils -
TBD -
TBD -
Fk Jurnieks Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caramba -
TBD -
TBD -
Nica FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
Priekuli -
Ogre -
TBD -
TBD -
RTU -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JFC Dobele 1
Ludzas NSS 0
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Balvu SC 5
FK Limbazi 0
FK Alberts 1
Monarhs 2
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
Alberts JDFS -
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs 10
FK Salacgriva 0
TBD -
Rezekne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
FK Karosta 3
SK Cesis 0
Bauskas / Memele 0
Gulbene 3
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
FK Roja / Kolka 1
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Babite -
AFA Olaine -
TBD -
New Project 0
Upesciems 2
Super Nova -
TBD -
Super Nova -
Nikers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
1/32-finals
Riga FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plavinas 2
Aliance 1
DSVK Traktors 0
Preilu BJSS 6
Jekabpils SC 8
Lielupe 1
BFK Salaspils 0
Fk Jurnieks Riga 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caramba 1
Nica FC 0
TBD -
Grobina -
Valmiera 8
Priekuli 0
Ogre 1
RTU 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Metta -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JFC Dobele -
Tukums 2000 -
Balvu SC 0
Monarhs 6
BFC Daugavpils -
Alberts JDFS -
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs 0
Rezekne 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
FK Karosta 5
Gulbene 1
FK Auda Riga -
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Babite -
AFA Olaine -
Upesciems -
Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS 1
Nikers 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
1/16-finals
Riga FC -
TBD -
Plavinas 0
Preilu BJSS 6
Jekabpils SC 5
Fk Jurnieks Riga 2
TBD -
Jelgava -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
Caramba 4
Grobina 5
Valmiera 2
RTU 1
TBD -
FK Metta -
Ventspils -
TBD -
JFC Dobele 0
Monarhs 12
BFC Daugavpils 2
Rezekne 0
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
FK Karosta 5
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 3
TBD -
SK Babite -
AFA Olaine 7
Nikers 0
TBD -
RFS -
1/8-finals
Riga FC 5
Preilu BJSS 0
Jekabpils SC 0
Jelgava 8
Spartaks Jurmala 2
Grobina 0
Valmiera 0
FK Metta 3
Ventspils 9
Monarhs 1
BFC Daugavpils 0
FK Liepaja 1
FK Karosta -
SK Babite -
AFA Olaine 0
RFS 4
Quarter-finals
Riga FC 3
Jelgava 2
Spartaks Jurmala 1
FK Metta 0
Ventspils 1
FK Liepaja 2
FK Karosta 0
RFS 7
Semi-finals
Riga FC 2
Spartaks Jurmala 1
FK Liepaja 4
RFS 1
Final
Riga FC 0
FK Liepaja 2