Sport Picks

Latvia

Latvian Cup 2021

Lielupe

1 - 3

Valka

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Valka in this Latvian Cup 2021 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

Lielupe

15%

Draws

Valka

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lielupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Valka have won more games recently than Lielupe.
Lielupe are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Valka arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Valka, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 88%

Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Lielupe Clean Sheet 13%

Valka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lielupe	Valka
Matches Played	17	17
Wins	4	5
Draws	0	0
Losses	13	12
Goals Scored	1.41	1.41
Goals Conceded	3.94	4.53
Expected Goals (xG)	3.50	1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2024 Latvian Cup

Lielupe vs Valka

5:1

Jul 4, 2021 Latvian Cup

Lielupe vs Valka

1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lielupe 84 / 100

Valka 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lielupe Valka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lielupe Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valka let in goals in 82% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Valka lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Lielupe's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Lielupe VS Valka

1.75 Goals Scored 0.88

2.5 Goals Conceded 5.25

88% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 88%

50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lielupe

(Home)

31 May

Lielupe

0 : 6

FK Metta

17 May

FK Union / JFK Daugava

5 : 0

Lielupe

02 Jun

Lielupe

1 : 2

Rigas Futbola Skola

17 May

Lielupe

5 : 1

Valka

12 Jun

Beitar

5 : 3

Lielupe

Page 1 of 4

Valka

(Away)

30 May

Valka

1 : 5

Aliance

17 May

Valka

1 : 9

Aliance

17 May

Lielupe

5 : 1

Valka

28 May

Valka

0 : 7

Marupe

21 May

Valka

0 : 2

Gulbenes

Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Kadaga/Ostas -

TBD -

Preilu BJSS -

TBD -

FK Smiltene -

RTU 1

JFC Viola 2

TBD -

Riga United -

Sigulda -

TBD -

DSVK Traktors -

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Spartaks Jurmala -

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

Valmiera -

TBD -

Upesciems -

TBD -

AFA Olaine -

TBD -

Speks -

Jekabpils SC -

TBD -

Grobina -

Kalupe -

TBD -

Kengaroos -

TBD -

Dinamo Riga -

Saldus SS/Leevon -

TBD -

Fk Jurnieks Riga -

Alberts JDFS -

TBD -

SK Babite 3

Dobele Allegro 0

TBD -

Skanste -

TBD -

Gauja -

TBD -

Tente -

TBD -

RFS -

FK Metta -

TBD -

Marupe -

TBD -

Talsi -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Caramba -

TBD -

FK Alberts -

Lielupe -

TBD -

Valka -

Riga FC -

TBD -

Kuivizu Spartaks -

TBD -

FK Limbazi -

Aliance -

TBD -

Bebri -

Tukums 2000 -

TBD -

Bauskas / Memele -

TBD -

Livani -

Salaspils FK -

TBD -

Rezekne -

Super Nova -

TBD -

Sports United/Cesis -

FK Varaklani -

TBD -

FK Madona Kvarcs -

TBD -

Latgols / Ludza -

Albatroz -

TBD -

Plavinas -

TBD -

FK Karosta -

1/64-finals

Kadaga/Ostas 2

Preilu BJSS 1

TBD -

FK Smiltene -

JFC Viola 5

Riga United 0

Sigulda 4

DSVK Traktors 3

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Spartaks Jurmala -

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

Valmiera -

TBD -

Upesciems -

TBD -

AFA Olaine 0

Speks 2

Jekabpils SC -

TBD -

Grobina -

Kalupe 4

Kengaroos 5

TBD -

Dinamo Riga -

Saldus SS/Leevon -

TBD -

Fk Jurnieks Riga -

Alberts JDFS -

TBD -

SK Babite -

TBD -

Skanste 5

Gauja 1

TBD -

Tente -

TBD -

RFS -

FK Metta -

TBD -

Marupe 5

Talsi 3

TBD -

FK Auda Riga -

Caramba 2

FK Alberts 0

Lielupe 1

Valka 3

Riga FC -

TBD -

Kuivizu Spartaks 0

FK Limbazi 10

Aliance 4

Bebri 2

Tukums 2000 -

TBD -

Bauskas / Memele 1

Livani 5

Salaspils FK -

TBD -

Rezekne -

Super Nova -

TBD -

Sports United/Cesis -

FK Varaklani -

TBD -

FK Madona Kvarcs 1

Latgols / Ludza 3

Albatroz -

TBD -

Plavinas 0

FK Karosta 1

1/32-finals

Kadaga/Ostas 0

FK Smiltene 6

JFC Viola 5

Sigulda 2

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Spartaks Jurmala -

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

Valmiera -

TBD -

Upesciems 2

Speks 4

Jekabpils SC 0

Grobina 2

Kengaroos 0

Dinamo Riga 2

Saldus SS/Leevon 2

Fk Jurnieks Riga 0

Alberts JDFS 1

SK Babite 0

Skanste 4

Tente 0

TBD -

RFS -

FK Metta -

TBD -

Marupe 1

FK Auda Riga 4

Caramba 11

Valka 0

Riga FC -

TBD -

FK Limbazi 4

Aliance 0

Tukums 2000 4

Livani 0

Salaspils FK 0

Rezekne 7

Super Nova 6

Sports United/Cesis 0

FK Varaklani 0

Latgols / Ludza 5

Albatroz 5

FK Karosta 1

1/16-finals

FK Smiltene 2

JFC Viola 0

TBD -

FK Liepaja -

Spartaks Jurmala -

TBD -

BFC Daugavpils -

Valmiera -

TBD -

Speks 4

Grobina 2

Dinamo Riga 9

Saldus SS/Leevon 0

Alberts JDFS 1

Skanste 2

TBD -

RFS -

FK Metta -

TBD -

FK Auda Riga 3

Caramba 1

Riga FC -

TBD -

FK Limbazi 0

Tukums 2000 2

Rezekne 3

Super Nova 1

Latgols / Ludza 0

Albatroz 1

1/8-finals

FK Smiltene 0

FK Liepaja 3

Spartaks Jurmala 0

BFC Daugavpils 1

Valmiera -

TBD -

Speks 0

Dinamo Riga 2

Skanste 0

RFS 2

FK Metta 1

FK Auda Riga 3

Riga FC 3

Tukums 2000 1

Rezekne 0

Albatroz 3

Quarter-finals

FK Liepaja 1

BFC Daugavpils 0

Valmiera 5

Dinamo Riga 0

RFS 4

FK Auda Riga 0

Riga FC 3

Albatroz 0

Semi-finals

FK Liepaja 2

Valmiera 0

RFS 3

Riga FC 1

Final

FK Liepaja 0

RFS 1

Lielupe vs Valka

Latvia

Lielupe

Valka

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Lielupe

Valka

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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