Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Lienden host EVV in the Derde Divisie 2019/2020. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. EVV have shipped 2.19 goals a game lately, while Lienden have conceded 1.89 and scored 0.84. Head-to-head, Lienden have won 0 to EVV's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.35 - 1.05) back EVV to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to EVV lately — more wins on the board than Lienden.
- Lienden are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lienden | EVV |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 19 | 31 |
| Wins | 4 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.84 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.89 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: EVV conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.
Lienden found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (19 games).
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Lienden went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Lienden
(Home)EVV
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Nijkerk | 22 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 58:27 | 52 |
| 2 | ODIN '59 | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 63:30 | 47 |
| 3 | Harkemase Boys | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 43:34 | 42 |
| 4 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 39:30 | 42 |
| 5 | Lisse | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 44:33 | 38 |
| 6 | HSV Hoek | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 54:42 | 34 |
| 7 | Barendrecht | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 37:38 | 34 |
| 8 | Excelsior 31 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 50:40 | 31 |
| 9 | Jong Almere City | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 54:48 | 31 |
| 10 | Ajax (Am) | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31:38 | 31 |
| 11 | GOES | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:44 | 31 |
| 12 | VVSB | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 47:48 | 28 |
| 13 | SteDoCo | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 41:42 | 28 |
| 14 | Ter Leede | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 36:53 | 27 |
| 15 | VV DOVO | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 45:55 | 22 |
| 16 | ONS Sneek | 23 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 32:72 | 12 |
| 17 | VVOG | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 26:59 | 11 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC OSS '20 | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 55:24 | 53 |
| 2 | Jong Den Haag | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 47:36 | 39 |
| 3 | OFC Oostzaan | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 38:27 | 36 |
| 4 | Gemert | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 42:42 | 35 |
| 5 | Dongen | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 34:19 | 34 |
| 6 | UNA | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 35:39 | 32 |
| 7 | EVV | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 30:27 | 31 |
| 8 | Blauw Geel | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 38:38 | 29 |
| 9 | HSC '21 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34:39 | 29 |
| 10 | DEM | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 31:31 | 27 |
| 11 | USV Hercules | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 35:38 | 27 |
| 12 | Groene Ster | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 28:33 | 27 |
| 13 | HV & CV Quick | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29:26 | 26 |
| 14 | Westlandia | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 31:40 | 24 |
| 15 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 29:35 | 21 |
| 16 | Lienden | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 17:39 | 18 |
| 17 | Hoogland | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 31:51 | 17 |