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Lienden vs EVV

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2019/2020
Sun, Mar 22, 2020
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lienden host EVV in the Derde Divisie 2019/2020. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. EVV have shipped 2.19 goals a game lately, while Lienden have conceded 1.89 and scored 0.84. Head-to-head, Lienden have won 0 to EVV's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.35 - 1.05) back EVV to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Lienden
20%
Draws
51%
EVV
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: EVV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to EVV lately — more wins on the board than Lienden.
  • Lienden are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Lienden Clean Sheet 20%
EVV Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lienden EVV
Matches Played 19 31
Wins 4 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 0.84 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.89 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2020 Derde Divisie
Lienden vs EVV
0:0
Dec 14, 2019 Derde Divisie
EVV vs Lienden
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lienden 40 / 100
EVV 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lienden EVV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lienden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: EVV conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Lienden found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (19 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Lienden went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS EVV
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lienden

(Home)
08 Mar
Lienden
1 : 0
HV & CV Quick
01 Mar
Groene Ster
3 : 1
Lienden
16 Feb
Lienden
0 : 3
OFC Oostzaan
02 Feb
Lienden
1 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
21 Jan
Lienden
1 : 3
Jong Den Haag
Page 1 of 4

EVV

(Away)
22 Sept
EVV
3 : 1
RKSV Halsteren
19 Sept
EVV
1 : 1
Groene Ster
13 Sept
RKSV UDI 19
4 : 1
EVV
05 Sept
EVV
0 : 1
SV Poortugaal
02 Sept
USV Hercules
1 : 3
EVV
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sparta Nijkerk 22 17 1 4 58:27 52
2 ODIN '59 22 15 2 5 63:30 47
3 Harkemase Boys 22 13 3 6 43:34 42
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 23 13 3 7 39:30 42
5 Lisse 23 11 5 7 44:33 38
6 HSV Hoek 23 10 4 9 54:42 34
7 Barendrecht 23 10 4 9 37:38 34
8 Excelsior 31 23 9 4 10 50:40 31
9 Jong Almere City 23 9 4 10 54:48 31
10 Ajax (Am) 22 9 4 9 31:38 31
11 GOES 23 9 4 10 33:44 31
12 VVSB 22 8 4 10 47:48 28
13 SteDoCo 22 7 7 8 41:42 28
14 Ter Leede 23 7 6 10 36:53 27
15 VV DOVO 23 6 4 13 45:55 22
16 ONS Sneek 23 2 6 15 32:72 12
17 VVOG 22 2 5 15 26:59 11
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC OSS '20 22 16 5 1 55:24 53
2 Jong Den Haag 22 12 3 7 47:36 39
3 OFC Oostzaan 22 11 3 8 38:27 36
4 Gemert 22 10 5 7 42:42 35
5 Dongen 20 9 7 4 34:19 34
6 UNA 22 8 8 6 35:39 32
7 EVV 22 8 7 7 30:27 31
8 Blauw Geel 22 8 5 9 38:38 29
9 HSC '21 22 8 5 9 34:39 29
10 DEM 22 7 6 9 31:31 27
11 USV Hercules 21 8 3 10 35:38 27
12 Groene Ster 22 7 6 9 28:33 27
13 HV & CV Quick 21 7 5 9 29:26 26
14 Westlandia 22 6 6 10 31:40 24
15 ADO 20 Heemskerk 21 5 6 10 29:35 21
16 Lienden 21 4 6 11 17:39 18
17 Hoogland 22 3 8 11 31:51 17
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)