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Lienden vs HV & CV Quick Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Boerstra D.

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2019/2020 game between Lienden and HV & CV Quick finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lienden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Lienden
15%
Draws
51%
HV & CV Quick
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: HV & CV Quick

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and HV & CV Quick come out ahead of Lienden on wins alone.
  • Lienden are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Lienden Clean Sheet 19%
HV & CV Quick Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lienden HV & CV Quick
Matches Played 19 32
Wins 4 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 0.84 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.89 2.84
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2020 Derde Divisie
Lienden vs HV & CV Quick
1:0
Dec 1, 2019 Derde Divisie
HV & CV Quick vs Lienden
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lienden Compare

Top Goalscorer Boerstra D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.15

HV & CV Quick Compare

Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lienden 85 / 100
HV & CV Quick 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lienden HV & CV Quick

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lienden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HV & CV Quick has conceded goals in 97% of their last 32 outings.

Lienden found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (19 games).

HV & CV Quick lost 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS HV & CV Quick
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 3.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Lienden

(Home)
08 Mar
Lienden
1 : 0
HV & CV Quick
01 Mar
Groene Ster
3 : 1
Lienden
16 Feb
Lienden
0 : 3
OFC Oostzaan
02 Feb
Lienden
1 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
21 Jan
Lienden
1 : 3
Jong Den Haag
Page 1 of 4

HV & CV Quick

(Away)
31 May
EVV
1 : 3
HV & CV Quick
27 May
HV & CV Quick
1 : 4
EVV
24 May
HV & CV Quick
4 : 3
SteDoCo
17 May
GOES
3 : 1
HV & CV Quick
11 May
HV & CV Quick
0 : 2
Meerssen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sparta Nijkerk 22 17 1 4 58:27 52
2 ODIN '59 22 15 2 5 63:30 47
3 Harkemase Boys 22 13 3 6 43:34 42
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 23 13 3 7 39:30 42
5 Lisse 23 11 5 7 44:33 38
6 HSV Hoek 23 10 4 9 54:42 34
7 Barendrecht 23 10 4 9 37:38 34
8 Excelsior 31 23 9 4 10 50:40 31
9 Jong Almere City 23 9 4 10 54:48 31
10 Ajax (Am) 22 9 4 9 31:38 31
11 GOES 23 9 4 10 33:44 31
12 VVSB 22 8 4 10 47:48 28
13 SteDoCo 22 7 7 8 41:42 28
14 Ter Leede 23 7 6 10 36:53 27
15 VV DOVO 23 6 4 13 45:55 22
16 ONS Sneek 23 2 6 15 32:72 12
17 VVOG 22 2 5 15 26:59 11
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC OSS '20 22 16 5 1 55:24 53
2 Jong Den Haag 22 12 3 7 47:36 39
3 OFC Oostzaan 22 11 3 8 38:27 36
4 Gemert 22 10 5 7 42:42 35
5 Dongen 20 9 7 4 34:19 34
6 UNA 22 8 8 6 35:39 32
7 EVV 22 8 7 7 30:27 31
8 Blauw Geel 22 8 5 9 38:38 29
9 HSC '21 22 8 5 9 34:39 29
10 DEM 22 7 6 9 31:31 27
11 USV Hercules 21 8 3 10 35:38 27
12 Groene Ster 22 7 6 9 28:33 27
13 HV & CV Quick 21 7 5 9 29:26 26
14 Westlandia 22 6 6 10 31:40 24
15 ADO 20 Heemskerk 21 5 6 10 29:35 21
16 Lienden 21 4 6 11 17:39 18
17 Hoogland 22 3 8 11 31:51 17
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)