Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lienz vs Saint Michael Lavanttal

Austria Austria

Karnten 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Karnten 2015/2016 game between Lienz and Saint Michael Lavanttal finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lienz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Lienz
15%
Draws
59%
Saint Michael Lavanttal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint Michael Lavanttal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Saint Michael Lavanttal's 1.14 goals per match outpaces what Lienz have produced (0.74).
  • Win probability leans Saint Michael Lavanttal's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Karnten 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Lienz Clean Sheet 10%
Saint Michael Lavanttal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lienz Saint Michael Lavanttal
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 5 5
Draws 5 6
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 0.74 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.55 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2016 Karnten
Lienz vs Saint Michael Lavanttal
2:0
Sep 26, 2015 Karnten
Saint Michael Lavanttal vs Lienz
0:0
Nov 15, 2009 Karnten
Saint Michael Lavanttal vs Lienz
1:2
Aug 1, 2009 Karnten
Lienz vs Saint Michael Lavanttal
3:1
Mar 29, 2009 Karnten
Saint Michael Lavanttal vs Lienz
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lienz 10 / 100
Saint Michael Lavanttal 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lienz Saint Michael Lavanttal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint Michael Lavanttal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint Michael Lavanttal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Lienz scored in 48% of their last 31 games.

Solid form: Lienz remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lienz VS Saint Michael Lavanttal
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lienz

(Home)
13 Jul
Lienz
0 : 11
Udinese
19 Jul
Al Hilal
5 : 0
Lienz
10 Jul
Lienz
0 : 9
Rennes
16 Jun
Bleiburg
3 : 0
Lienz
09 Jun
Lienz
2 : 0
Volkermarkt
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Saint Michael Lavanttal

(Away)
26 Sept
Saint Michael Lavanttal
1 : 1
Dellach/Gail
18 Sept
TSV Grafenstein
6 : 2
Saint Michael Lavanttal
11 Sept
Nussdorf
0 : 5
Saint Michael Lavanttal
05 Sept
Saint Michael Lavanttal
0 : 3
SAK Klagenfurt
28 Aug
Lendorf
0 : 2
Saint Michael Lavanttal
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