Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lierse SK vs Chatelet

Belgium Belgium

First Amateur Division 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lierse SK in this First Amateur Division 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lierse SK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Lierse SK
35%
Draws
26%
Chatelet
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lierse SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lierse SK lately — more wins on the board than Chatelet.
  • Model gives Lierse SK a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular First Amateur Division 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Lierse SK Clean Sheet 20%
Chatelet Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lierse SK Chatelet
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.26 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2019 National Division 1
Lierse SK vs Chatelet
2:1
Nov 24, 2018 National Division 1
Chatelet vs Lierse SK
1:0
Mar 10, 2018 National Division 1
Lierse SK vs Chatelet
1:1
Sep 24, 2017 National Division 1
Chatelet vs Lierse SK
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lierse SK 49 / 100
Chatelet 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lierse SK Chatelet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lierse SK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lierse SK scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Chatelet let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Lierse SK remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lierse SK VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lierse SK

(Home)
06 Sept
Lierse SK
0 : 0
RFC Liege
30 Aug
RFC Seraing
1 : 1
Lierse SK
22 Aug
Lierse SK
2 : 1
Patro Eisden
15 Aug
Virton
3 : 0
Lierse SK
09 Aug
Thes Sport
1 : 1
Lierse SK
Page 1 of 7

Chatelet

(Away)
27 Apr
Chatelet
0 : 0
Knokke
13 Apr
Virton
1 : 0
Chatelet
06 Apr
Chatelet
0 : 3
RFC Seraing
30 Mar
Dessel
1 : 0
Chatelet
23 Mar
Chatelet
2 : 1
Dender
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thes Sport 30 19 5 6 62:28 62
2 Deinze 30 17 8 5 53:30 59
3 Virton 30 15 9 6 42:20 54
4 Lierse SK 30 13 9 8 42:36 48
5 Boom 30 13 6 11 44:40 45
6 RFC Liege 30 11 8 11 41:35 41
7 RFC Seraing 30 10 11 9 46:40 41
8 RWDM Brussels 30 11 7 12 39:45 40
9 Dender 30 10 10 10 42:40 40
10 Heist 30 10 8 12 29:44 38
11 Chatelet 30 9 9 12 30:37 36
12 Dessel 30 9 8 13 30:39 35
13 Oudenaarde 30 10 4 16 37:59 34
14 ASV Geel 30 9 4 17 42:62 31
15 Aalst 30 7 10 13 35:49 31
16 Knokke 30 6 6 18 35:45 24
Relegation - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - First Amateur Division 2018/2019 (Promotion Group)