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Lierse SK vs Eupen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Challenger Pro League Herman Vanderpoortenstadion, Lier
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lierse SK host Eupen in the Challenger Pro League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Lierse SK at 1.34 goals for, 1.28 against; Eupen at 2.1 for, 1.07 against. Past meetings favor Lierse SK slightly — 4-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 10, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.75) point toward Eupen. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Lierse SK
20%
Draws
56%
Eupen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Eupen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Eupen have won more games recently than Lierse SK.
  • 56% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Lierse SK have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Lierse SK Clean Sheet 12%
Eupen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lierse SK Eupen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 18
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.34 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2026 Challenger Pro League
Eupen vs Lierse SK
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs Eupen
3:2
Feb 9, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Eupen vs Lierse SK
1:3
Sep 21, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs Eupen
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lierse SK 35 / 100
Eupen 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lierse SK Eupen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eupen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Lierse SK scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Lierse SK stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Eupen has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lierse SK VS Eupen
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lierse SK

(Home)
10 Oct
Lierse SK
3 : 0
Francs Borains
27 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
3 : 2
Lierse SK
11 Sept
Beerschot VA
3 : 1
Lierse SK
06 Sept
Lierse SK
0 : 0
RFC Liege
30 Aug
RFC Seraing
1 : 1
Lierse SK
Page 1 of 6

Eupen

(Away)
18 Oct
KV Mechelen
5 : 1
Eupen
09 Oct
Anderlecht U23
0 : 2
Eupen
01 Oct
Eupen
3 : 1
Alemannia Aachen
27 Sept
Merelbeke
0 : 1
Eupen
19 Sept
Eupen
3 : 1
RFC Liege
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Beerschot VA 7 6 0 1 18:6 18
2 Dender 7 6 0 1 11:2 18
3 Eupen 6 5 0 1 13:5 15
4 Francs Borains 6 4 0 2 9:7 12
5 Hasselt 7 4 0 3 8:10 12
6 Virton 6 3 1 2 11:6 10
7 Sporting Lokeren 6 3 1 2 13:11 10
8 Lierse SK 6 2 2 2 7:8 8
9 Club Brugge U23 6 2 2 2 11:13 8
10 Gent U23 6 2 2 2 9:11 8
11 Genk U23 7 2 1 4 12:15 7
12 Patro Eisden 7 2 0 5 8:12 6
13 RFC Liege 7 1 2 4 11:18 5
14 RFC Seraing 7 0 2 5 8:15 2
15 Anderlecht U23 7 0 1 6 7:17 1
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