Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lierse SK vs Gent U23

Belgium Belgium

Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 Herman Vanderpoortenstadion, Lier
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Vydysh R.
Assist: Abdullahi A.
26'
Mayoka-Tika N.
33' Event
Stanic A.
Assist: Daguin V.

AI Match Summary

Gent U23 in this Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gent U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lierse SK
35%
Draws
32%
Gent U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Gent U23 have won more games recently than Lierse SK.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Lierse SK taking it.
  • Regular Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lierse SK Clean Sheet 20%
Gent U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lierse SK Gent U23
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.28 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs Gent U23
1:3
Sep 25, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Gent U23 vs Lierse SK
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lierse SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Stanic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Gent U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vydysh R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Vlieger T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lierse SK 36 / 100
Gent U23 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lierse SK Gent U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gent U23 conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Lierse SK scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Lierse SK went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lierse SK VS Gent U23
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lierse SK

(Home)
11 Sept
Beerschot VA
3 : 1
Lierse SK
06 Sept
Lierse SK
0 : 0
RFC Liege
30 Aug
RFC Seraing
1 : 1
Lierse SK
22 Aug
Lierse SK
2 : 1
Patro Eisden
15 Aug
Virton
3 : 0
Lierse SK
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Gent U23

(Away)
18 Sept
Club Brugge U23
2 : 2
Gent U23
11 Sept
Gent U23
0 : 1
Dender
05 Sept
Gent U23
2 : 2
Anderlecht U23
28 Aug
Hasselt
0 : 2
Gent U23
16 Aug
Beerschot VA
4 : 0
Gent U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SK Beveren 32 28 4 0 74:23 88
2 Kortrijk 32 21 4 7 59:33 67
3 Beerschot VA 32 19 7 6 52:31 64
4 RFC Liege 32 16 5 11 44:39 53
5 Lommel SK 32 15 8 9 59:46 53
6 Patro Eisden 32 14 9 9 44:40 51
7 Eupen 32 12 11 9 44:36 47
8 Sporting Lokeren 32 10 12 10 48:45 42
9 Gent U23 32 12 5 15 42:51 41
10 Lierse SK 32 10 8 14 35:42 38
11 RFC Seraing 32 8 11 13 37:44 35
12 Francs Borains 32 9 8 15 33:47 34
13 RWDM Brussels 32 9 9 14 50:54 33
14 Anderlecht U23 32 7 10 15 46:55 31
15 Genk U23 32 7 10 15 42:59 31
16 Club Brugge U23 32 5 6 21 33:55 21
17 OC Charleroi 32 3 7 22 26:68 16
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