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Lierse SK vs Roda Prediction & H2H Stats

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Club Friendly 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Djim C.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2017 game between Lierse SK and Roda finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Roda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Lierse SK
35%
Draws
58%
Roda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Roda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Roda haven't matched Lierse SK's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Roda a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Lierse SK Clean Sheet 14%
Roda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lierse SK Roda
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 12 10
Draws 3 9
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2017 Club Friendly
Lierse SK vs Roda
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lierse SK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Roda Compare

Top Goalscorer Djim C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lierse SK 10 / 100
Roda 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lierse SK Roda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lierse SK scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Roda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Lierse SK stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Roda
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lierse SK

(Home)
18 May
Waregem
5 : 0
Lierse SK
11 May
Lierse SK
0 : 5
SK Beveren
08 May
Royal Excel Mouscron
1 : 0
Lierse SK
05 May
Lierse SK
2 : 2
Leuven
28 Apr
Kortrijk
2 : 1
Lierse SK
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Roda

(Away)
26 Sept
Roda
2 : 0
Waalwijk
18 Sept
Jong Ajax
0 : 0
Roda
12 Sept
Roda
1 : 0
Vitesse
06 Sept
Maastricht
1 : 1
Roda
28 Aug
Roda
2 : 2
NAC Breda
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