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Liga Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Lichinga

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2022 Estádio Da Liga Muçulmana, Matola
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AI Match Summary

Liga Desportivo Maputo in this Mocambola 2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Liga Desportivo Maputo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Liga Desportivo Maputo
40%
Draws
29%
Ferroviario Lichinga
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Ferroviario Lichinga have won more games recently than Liga Desportivo Maputo.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Mocambola 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Ferroviario Lichinga have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Liga Desportivo Maputo Clean Sheet 15%
Ferroviario Lichinga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liga Desportivo Maputo Ferroviario Lichinga
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 5 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 21, 2022 Mocambola
Liga Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Lichinga
2:1
Aug 21, 2022 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs Liga Desportivo Maputo
1:0
Aug 7, 2021 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs Liga Desportivo Maputo
1:0
Jan 17, 2021 Mocambola
Liga Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Lichinga
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liga Desportivo Maputo 31 / 100
Ferroviario Lichinga 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liga Desportivo Maputo Ferroviario Lichinga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Liga Desportivo Maputo scored in 30% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Ferroviario Lichinga conceded in 58% of 26 recent games.

Liga Desportivo Maputo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ferroviario Lichinga
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Liga Desportivo Maputo

(Home)
03 Dec
Liga Desportivo Maputo
0 : 3
Ferroviario Nampula
26 Nov
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0
Liga Desportivo Maputo
21 Nov
Liga Desportivo Maputo
2 : 1
Ferroviario Lichinga
13 Nov
Liga Desportivo Maputo
4 : 0
ENH Vilankulo
06 Nov
Associacao Black Bulls
2 : 0
Liga Desportivo Maputo
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Ferroviario Lichinga

(Away)
29 Jun
Ferroviario Lichinga
2 : 1
Maxaquene
26 Jun
Ferroviario Lichinga
2 : 1
Costa do Sol
20 Jun
Ferroviario Nacala
0 : 0
Ferroviario Lichinga
17 Jun
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1
Ferroviario Lichinga
24 May
Ferroviario Lichinga
1 : 0
Baia de Pemba
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