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Liga Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Nacala

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2022 Estádio Da Liga Muçulmana
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AI Match Summary

The Mocambola 2022 game between Liga Desportivo Maputo and Ferroviario Nacala finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Liga Desportivo Maputo
39%
Draws
31%
Ferroviario Nacala
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ferroviario Nacala come out ahead of Liga Desportivo Maputo on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Mocambola 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 18.4%
Liga Desportivo Maputo Clean Sheet 68%
Ferroviario Nacala Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liga Desportivo Maputo Ferroviario Nacala
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 5 10
Draws 10 11
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 0 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 26, 2022 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nacala vs Liga Desportivo Maputo
1:0
Sep 10, 2022 Mocambola
Liga Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Nacala
0:0
Sep 12, 2021 Mocambola
Liga Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Nacala
0:0
May 16, 2021 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nacala vs Liga Desportivo Maputo
1:0
Nov 3, 2019 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nacala vs Liga Desportivo Maputo
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liga Desportivo Maputo 41 / 100
Ferroviario Nacala 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liga Desportivo Maputo Ferroviario Nacala

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LDM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liga Desportivo Maputo's goal record stands at 30% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ferroviario Nacala has conceded goals in 36% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Liga Desportivo Maputo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ferroviario Nacala
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%