Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ligorna vs Bra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Zanon M.
35' Event
Massaro G.
54'
Insignito A.

AI Match Summary

Bra in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ligorna
30%
Draws
31%
Bra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ligorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Ligorna have won more games recently than Bra.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Ligorna taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 68%
Bra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ligorna Bra
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 5
Draws 6 10
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.87 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Bra
1:2
Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Bra vs Ligorna
2:0
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Bra
0:1
Jan 17, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Bra
0:0
Sep 20, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Bra vs Ligorna
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ligorna Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bra Compare

Top Goalscorer Zanon M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Massaro G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ligorna 86 / 100
Bra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ligorna Bra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ligorna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bra conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Ligorna scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ligorna remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ligorna VS Bra
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ligorna

(Home)
01 Nov
Ligorna
0 : 0
Sestri Levante
25 Oct
Valenzana
0 : 1
Ligorna
18 Oct
Ligorna
1 : 2
Bra
11 Oct
Gozzano
0 : 4
Ligorna
04 Oct
Ligorna
2 : 1
Saluzzo
Page 1 of 6

Bra

(Away)
01 Nov
Chisola
5 : 1
Bra
25 Oct
Bra
0 : 0
Derthona FbC
18 Oct
Ligorna
1 : 2
Bra
11 Oct
Bra
1 : 1
Saluzzo
07 Oct
Bra
2 : 0
Celle Varazze
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alessandria 10 9 0 1 21:10 27
2 Chisola 10 6 2 2 24:12 20
3 AS Biellese 10 6 2 2 21:11 20
4 Ligorna 10 5 2 3 17:12 17
5 Derthona FbC 10 4 4 2 14:14 16
6 Millesimo 10 5 1 4 17:11 16
7 Imperia Calcio 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
8 Asti Calcio 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
9 Gozzano 10 4 2 4 12:15 14
10 Sanremese 10 3 5 2 12:9 14
11 Saluzzo 10 2 6 2 10:10 12
12 Borgosesia Calcio 10 3 3 4 13:15 12
13 GSD Lascaris 10 3 2 5 9:14 11
14 Fezzanese 10 3 1 6 8:15 10
15 Bra 10 2 4 4 8:14 10
16 Sestri Levante 10 2 4 4 7:10 10
17 Valenzana 10 1 2 7 10:18 5
18 Celle Varazze 10 1 1 8 5:19 4
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)