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Ligorna vs Chisola

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Pastore M.
22'
Pastore M.
25'
Benedetto F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Ligorna advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ligorna
6%
Draws
4%
Chisola
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ligorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ligorna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ligorna a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Ligorna have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ligorna, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 68%
Chisola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ligorna Chisola
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Chisola
1:0
Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Ligorna
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Chisola
4:0
Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Ligorna
2:2
Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Chisola
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ligorna Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruzzo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Chisola Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ligorna 95 / 100
Chisola 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ligorna Chisola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ligorna went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ligorna's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Chisola conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ligorna VS Chisola
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ligorna

(Home)
17 May
Ligorna
5 : 3
Varese FC
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0
Chisola
03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1
NovaRomentin
26 Apr
Asti Calcio
1 : 1
Ligorna
19 Apr
Ligorna
2 : 1
AS Biellese
Page 1 of 7

Chisola

(Away)
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0
Chisola
03 May
Valenzana
2 : 3
Chisola
26 Apr
Chisola
4 : 2
Lavagnese
19 Apr
Gozzano
3 : 2
Chisola
12 Apr
Chisola
0 : 0
Ligorna
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Ligorna 1
Chisola 0
AS Biellese 1
Varese FC 2
Final
Ligorna 5
Varese FC 3