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Ligorna vs Fossano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Del Bello F.
32' Event
Piredda M.
90' Event
Rossi E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 game between Ligorna and Fossano finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fossano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ligorna
15%
Draws
0%
Fossano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ligorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ligorna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ligorna are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 20%
Fossano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ligorna Fossano
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 20
Goals Scored 2 0.83
Goals Conceded 1 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Fossano
1:2
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Ligorna
1:1
Jan 29, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Ligorna
2:3
Sep 28, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Fossano
1:0
Jan 30, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Fossano
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ligorna Compare

Top Goalscorer Piredda M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Fossano Compare

Top Goalscorer Del Bello F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rossi E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ligorna 85 / 100
Fossano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ligorna Fossano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ligorna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fossano conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Fossano has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Ligorna scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ligorna VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ligorna

(Home)
20 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 2
Ligorna
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3
Derthona FbC
13 Sept
AS Biellese
3 : 1
Ligorna
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2
Sanremese
17 May
Ligorna
5 : 3
Varese FC
Page 1 of 6

Fossano

(Away)
04 May
Chisola
5 : 0
Fossano
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
NovaRomentin
3 : 1
Fossano
13 Apr
Fossano
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
06 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 0
Fossano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)