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Ligorna vs Sestri Levante - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Ligorna
35%
Draws
24%
Sestri Levante
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ligorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Sestri Levante haven't matched Ligorna's recent run of results.
  • Ligorna are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 20%
Sestri Levante Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ligorna Sestri Levante
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 18 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.9 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Sestri Levante
0:0
Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Sestri Levante vs Ligorna
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Sestri Levante
1:1
Aug 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Sestri Levante vs Ligorna
1:2
Apr 11, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Sestri Levante
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ligorna 76 / 100
Sestri Levante 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ligorna Sestri Levante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ligorna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ligorna found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Sestri Levante has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ligorna stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ligorna VS Sestri Levante
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ligorna

(Home)
01 Nov
Ligorna
0 : 0
Sestri Levante
25 Oct
Valenzana
0 : 1
Ligorna
18 Oct
Ligorna
1 : 2
Bra
11 Oct
Gozzano
0 : 4
Ligorna
04 Oct
Ligorna
2 : 1
Saluzzo
Page 1 of 6

Sestri Levante

(Away)
01 Nov
Ligorna
0 : 0
Sestri Levante
25 Oct
Sestri Levante
0 : 0
Saluzzo
18 Oct
Sanremese
1 : 0
Sestri Levante
11 Oct
Sestri Levante
1 : 1
Celle Varazze
07 Oct
Sestri Levante
1 : 0
Pistoiese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alessandria 10 9 0 1 21:10 27
2 Chisola 10 6 2 2 24:12 20
3 AS Biellese 10 6 2 2 21:11 20
4 Ligorna 10 5 2 3 17:12 17
5 Derthona FbC 10 4 4 2 14:14 16
6 Millesimo 10 5 1 4 17:11 16
7 Imperia Calcio 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
8 Asti Calcio 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
9 Gozzano 10 4 2 4 12:15 14
10 Sanremese 10 3 5 2 12:9 14
11 Saluzzo 10 2 6 2 10:10 12
12 Borgosesia Calcio 10 3 3 4 13:15 12
13 GSD Lascaris 10 3 2 5 9:14 11
14 Fezzanese 10 3 1 6 8:15 10
15 Bra 10 2 4 4 8:14 10
16 Sestri Levante 10 2 4 4 7:10 10
17 Valenzana 10 1 2 7 10:18 5
18 Celle Varazze 10 1 1 8 5:19 4
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)