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Lilla Torg vs IFK Karlshamn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lilla Torg host IFK Karlshamn in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. IFK Karlshamn have shipped 2.29 goals a game lately, while Lilla Torg have conceded 1.86 and scored 1.45. Past meetings favor IFK Karlshamn slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 7, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (2.75 xG vs 1.56) point toward Lilla Torg. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Lilla Torg
35%
Draws
28%
IFK Karlshamn
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lilla Torg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Lilla Torg at 1.45 per game, IFK Karlshamn at 1.07.
  • Win probability leans Lilla Torg's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Lilla Torg Clean Sheet 15%
IFK Karlshamn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lilla Torg IFK Karlshamn
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 6
Draws 13 2
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.45 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Karlshamn vs Lilla Torg
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lilla Torg 57 / 100
IFK Karlshamn 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lilla Torg IFK Karlshamn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lilla Torg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IFK Karlshamn's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Lilla Torg's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Lilla Torg stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lilla Torg VS IFK Karlshamn
1.88 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lilla Torg

(Home)
10 Oct
Solvesborgs
1 : 1
Lilla Torg
02 Oct
Lilla Torg
2 : 3
Nosaby IF
27 Sept
Osterlen FF
3 : 3
Lilla Torg
18 Sept
Lilla Torg
2 : 2
Linero IF
12 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
1 : 1
Lilla Torg
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IFK Karlshamn

(Away)
03 Oct
Vaxjo Norra
0 : 2
IFK Karlshamn
26 Sept
IFK Karlshamn
1 : 4
Karlskrona
19 Sept
IFK Berga
4 : 1
IFK Karlshamn
13 Sept
IFK Karlshamn
1 : 2
Torns
05 Sept
Osterlen FF
6 : 0
IFK Karlshamn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karlskrona 24 19 3 2 63:21 60
2 IFK Trelleborg 24 15 5 4 51:23 50
3 Oskarshamn 24 14 3 7 60:30 45
4 IFK Berga 24 12 4 8 52:36 40
5 Nosaby IF 24 11 6 7 45:39 39
6 Linero IF 24 12 2 10 45:41 38
7 Vaxjo Norra 24 9 8 7 31:33 35
8 Osterlen FF 24 8 6 10 37:41 30
9 Lilla Torg 24 6 10 8 33:41 28
10 Solvesborgs 24 9 1 14 35:46 28
11 Staffanstorp United 24 6 8 10 37:41 26
12 Torns 24 7 0 17 31:66 21
13 Rappe GOIF 24 4 6 14 25:53 18
14 IFK Karlshamn 24 4 2 18 26:60 14
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Relegation)