Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lilla Torg vs Karlskrona

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Ekblad S.
7' Event
Bjornson L.
9' Event
Lundqvist H.

AI Match Summary

Karlskrona in this Division 2 - Södra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Karlskrona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Lilla Torg
15%
Draws
58%
Karlskrona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karlskrona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Karlskrona have won more games recently than Lilla Torg.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Karlskrona taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Lilla Torg Clean Sheet 10%
Karlskrona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lilla Torg Karlskrona
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 18
Draws 12 4
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.34 2.1
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Lilla Torg vs Karlskrona
1:4
May 31, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Lilla Torg
1:1
Aug 9, 2009 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Lilla Torg
0:0
Jun 14, 2009 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Lilla Torg vs Karlskrona
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lilla Torg Compare

Top Goalscorer Okenge J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Karlskrona Compare

Top Goalscorer Lundqvist H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ekblad S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lilla Torg 10 / 100
Karlskrona 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lilla Torg Karlskrona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlskrona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lilla Torg's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Karlskrona has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Lilla Torg stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lilla Torg VS Karlskrona
2 Goals Scored 3.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lilla Torg

(Home)
12 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
1 : 1
Lilla Torg
06 Sept
IFK Berga
1 : 3
Lilla Torg
29 Aug
Lilla Torg
3 : 1
Rappe GOIF
23 Aug
IFK Trelleborg
2 : 0
Lilla Torg
15 Aug
Lilla Torg
1 : 4
Karlskrona
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Karlskrona

(Away)
12 Sept
Solvesborgs
0 : 2
Karlskrona
06 Sept
Staffanstorp United
0 : 2
Karlskrona
30 Aug
Karlskrona
4 : 1
IFK Berga
22 Aug
Karlskrona
5 : 0
Vaxjo Norra
15 Aug
Lilla Torg
1 : 4
Karlskrona
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karlskrona 21 16 3 2 55:19 51
2 Oskarshamn 21 13 3 5 55:24 42
3 IFK Trelleborg 21 12 5 4 41:19 41
4 IFK Berga 21 10 4 7 43:32 34
5 Linero IF 21 11 1 9 37:36 34
6 Vaxjo Norra 21 9 6 6 30:30 33
7 Nosaby IF 21 9 5 7 39:37 32
8 Osterlen FF 21 8 4 9 32:33 28
9 Lilla Torg 21 6 8 7 26:33 26
10 Solvesborgs 21 8 1 12 31:36 25
11 Staffanstorp United 21 5 7 9 31:36 22
12 Torns 21 7 0 14 29:57 21
13 Rappe GOIF 21 3 5 13 22:49 14
14 IFK Karlshamn 21 3 2 16 22:52 11
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Relegation)