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Stadium Background

Lille II vs Bastia

France France

National 2 - Group A 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bastia in this National 2 - Group A 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bastia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Lille II
30%
Draws
54%
Bastia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bastia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bastia lately — more wins on the board than Lille II.
  • 16% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Lille II Clean Sheet 20%
Bastia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lille II Bastia
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 3 9
Draws 9 11
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 0.6 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.95 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2020 National 1 - Group A
Lille II vs Bastia
0:2
Aug 24, 2019 National 1 - Group A
Bastia vs Lille II
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lille II 31 / 100
Bastia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lille II Bastia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lille II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Lille II's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Bastia has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Lille II remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bastia
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lille II

(Home)
07 Mar
Lille II
0 : 0
FC Bobigny 93
22 Feb
Epinal
1 : 0
Lille II
15 Feb
Lille II
1 : 1
St. Maur Lusitanos
08 Feb
Sainte-Genevieve
2 : 0
Lille II
25 Jan
Lille II
0 : 2
Bastia
Page 1 of 4

Bastia

(Away)
27 Aug
Caen
0 : 1
Bastia
20 Aug
Bastia
2 : 3
Versailles
14 Aug
Aubagne FC
0 : 1
Bastia
07 Aug
Bastia
0 : 2
Le Puy-en-Velay
31 Jul
Bastia
2 : 2
Annecy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bastia 21 17 2 2 37:15 53
2 Sedan 21 14 6 1 27:4 48
3 FC Bobigny 93 21 13 6 2 35:12 45
4 Reims II 21 10 6 5 39:30 36
5 Sainte-Genevieve 21 9 7 5 30:25 34
6 Epinal 21 8 6 7 22:15 30
7 Lens II 21 7 7 7 26:27 28
8 St. Maur Lusitanos 21 6 6 9 22:23 24
9 Haguenau 21 6 5 10 21:29 23
10 St Quentin 21 6 5 10 23:27 23
11 Schiltigheim 21 6 4 11 26:36 22
12 Mulhouse 21 3 11 7 17:27 20
13 Belfort 21 5 4 12 24:34 19
14 Lille II 21 3 9 9 12:21 18
15 JA Drancy 21 3 8 10 16:28 17
16 IC Croix 21 4 4 13 17:41 16
Promotion - National 2020/2021 (Main)