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Lille II vs Senart-Moissy Prediction & H2H Stats

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CFA - Group A 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group A 2011/2012 game between Lille II and Senart-Moissy finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lille II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lille II
35%
Draws
32%
Senart-Moissy
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Lille II and Senart-Moissy close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Lille II are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular CFA - Group A 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Lille II Clean Sheet 20%
Senart-Moissy Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lille II Senart-Moissy
Matches Played 21 30
Wins 4 4
Draws 9 11
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 0.67 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.95 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2012 National 1 - Group A
Lille II vs Senart-Moissy
2:1
Sep 3, 2011 National 1 - Group A
Senart-Moissy vs Lille II
0:1
May 28, 2011 National 1 - Group A
Senart-Moissy vs Lille II
1:1
Aug 8, 2010 National 1 - Group A
Lille II vs Senart-Moissy
1:1
May 10, 2009 National 1 - Group A
Lille II vs Senart-Moissy
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lille II 67 / 100
Senart-Moissy 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lille II Senart-Moissy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lille II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Senart-Moissy has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Senart-Moissy has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Lille II scored in 48% of their last 21 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lille II VS Senart-Moissy
0.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lille II

(Home)
07 Mar
Lille II
0 : 0
FC Bobigny 93
22 Feb
Epinal
1 : 0
Lille II
15 Feb
Lille II
1 : 1
St. Maur Lusitanos
08 Feb
Sainte-Genevieve
2 : 0
Lille II
25 Jan
Lille II
0 : 2
Bastia
Page 1 of 5

Senart-Moissy

(Away)
14 Nov
Panazol
2 : 1
Senart-Moissy
07 Feb
JA Drancy
2 : 0
Senart-Moissy
12 Nov
Les Sables
4 : 1
Senart-Moissy
02 Jun
Senart-Moissy
0 : 0
Villemomble
23 May
Calvi
1 : 1
Senart-Moissy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Borgo 34 20 7 7 53:33 101
2 Aubervilliers 34 19 7 8 53:34 98
3 Dunkerque 34 17 12 5 50:31 97
4 Auxerre II 34 19 5 10 60:36 96
5 JA Drancy 34 15 10 9 35:32 88
6 Lens II 34 13 11 10 48:39 84
7 Calvi 34 13 11 10 58:51 84
8 Amiens AC 34 14 8 12 41:40 84
9 Ivry 34 14 7 13 50:40 83
10 Lille II 34 13 10 11 44:42 82
11 Compiegne 34 12 7 15 44:52 77
12 Poissy 34 7 17 10 43:47 72
13 Valenciennes II 34 11 5 18 44:52 72
14 PSG II 34 8 11 15 32:38 69
15 Alfortville 34 7 11 16 36:55 66
16 Senart-Moissy 34 6 13 15 22:45 65
17 Villemomble 34 6 12 16 24:47 64
18 Avion 34 5 10 19 34:57 59
Promotion - National 2012/2013 (Main)