Sport Picks

France

Ligue 1 Stade Pierre-Mauroy

PSG

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lille host PSG in the Ligue 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Lille at 1.25 goals for, 0.38 against; PSG at 2.38 for, 1.13 against. Past meetings favor PSG slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 16, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.19 - 1.38) back PSG to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Lille

44%

Draws

20%

PSG

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to PSG lately — more wins on the board than Lille.
44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors PSG here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%

Lille Clean Sheet 17%

PSG Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lille	PSG
Matches Played	32	35
Wins	16	24
Draws	5	4
Losses	11	7
Goals Scored	1.25	2.38
Goals Conceded	0.38	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2026 Ligue 1

PSG vs Lille

Possession: 46% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

3:0

Oct 5, 2025 Ligue 1

Lille vs PSG

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Mar 1, 2025 Ligue 1

PSG vs Lille

Possession: 57% - 40% Cards: 1 - 1

4:1

Sep 1, 2024 Ligue 1

Lille vs PSG

Possession: 42% - 55% Cards: 3 - 4

1:3

Feb 10, 2024 Ligue 1

PSG vs Lille

Possession: 53% - 42% Cards: 1 - 3

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lille 36 / 100

PSG 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lille PSG

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSG Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Lille scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Solid form: Lille remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

PSG's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 35 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lille VS PSG

1.25 Goals Scored 2.38

0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13

50% Over 1.5 100%

25% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	GD
1	Auxerre	0:0
2	Le Havre	0:0
3	Le Mans	0:0
4	Lille	0:0
5	Lorient	0:0
6	Monaco	0:0
7	Nice	0:0
8	PSG	0:0
9	Strasbourg	0:0
10	Angers	0:0
11	Brest	0:0
12	Troyes	0:0
13	Paris FC	0:0
14	Marseille	0:0
15	Toulouse	0:0
16	Lens	0:0
17	Rennes	0:0
18	Lyon	0:0