Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lille U19 vs Real Madrid U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 Area de Luchin, Lille
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Imbondo R.
19'
Sub
Santiago A. In: De Llanos H.
Out: Santiago A.
19'
Sub
Fortea J. In: Torres R.
Out: Fortea J.

AI Match Summary

Lille U19 in this UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lille U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Lille U19
35%
Draws
51%
Real Madrid U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Real Madrid U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real Madrid U19 lately — more wins on the board than Lille U19.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Real Madrid U19 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Lille U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Real Madrid U19 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lille U19 Real Madrid U19
Matches Played 21 31
Wins 7 23
Draws 8 2
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.14 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 1.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2024 UEFA Youth League
Lille U19 vs Real Madrid U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lille U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaoune S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ayodele S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.6
Avg xA / game 0.39

Real Madrid U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yanez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lille U19 10 / 100
Real Madrid U19 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lille U19 Real Madrid U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Madrid U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lille U19 scored in 76% of their last 21 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Lille U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Real Madrid U19 conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Lille U19 VS Real Madrid U19
0.67 Goals Scored 2.38
1.33 Goals Conceded 0.88
67% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lille U19

(Home)
08 Sept
Lille U19
0 : 0
Betis U19
11 Feb
Inter U19
3 : 1
Lille U19
11 Dec
Lille U19
1 : 1
Sturm Graz U19
27 Nov
Bologna U19
2 : 2
Lille U19
05 Nov
Lille U19
0 : 0
Juventus U19
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Real Madrid U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Real Madrid U19
3 : 1
S. Wanderers U20
08 Sept
Real Madrid U19
3 : 0
Inter U19
20 Apr
Club Brugge U19
1 : 2
Real Madrid U19
17 Apr
Real Madrid U19
2 : 1
PSG U19
18 Mar
Real Madrid U19
2 : 1
Sporting CP U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U19 6 6 0 0 19:7 18
2 Sporting CP U19 6 5 1 0 13:3 16
3 Salzburg U19 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
4 Barcelona U19 6 5 0 1 17:10 15
5 VfB Stuttgart U19 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
6 Real Madrid U19 6 4 0 2 10:5 12
7 Atalanta U19 6 4 0 2 14:12 12
8 Atl. Madrid U19 6 3 2 1 16:8 11
9 Benfica U19 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
10 Juventus U19 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
11 Manchester City U19 6 3 1 2 16:8 10
12 Girona U19 6 2 4 0 9:5 10
13 Bayern U19 6 3 1 2 11:12 10
14 Shakhtar U19 6 3 1 2 9:11 10
15 Aston Villa U19 6 3 0 3 14:11 9
16 Sturm Graz U19 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
17 Celtic U19 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
18 Dortmund U19 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
19 Liverpool U19 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
20 Lille U19 6 1 5 0 8:7 8
21 Din. Zagreb U19 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
22 Monaco U19 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
23 PSG U19 6 2 1 3 14:13 7
24 Leverkusen U19 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
25 PSV U19 6 1 3 2 8:9 6
26 Arsenal U19 6 2 0 4 5:12 6
27 AC Milan U19 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
28 Crvena zvezda U19 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
29 Feyenoord U19 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
30 Young Boys U19 6 1 0 5 11:17 3
31 Club Brugge U19 6 0 3 3 5:11 3
32 RB Leipzig U19 6 1 0 5 10:18 3
33 Bologna U19 6 0 2 4 7:14 2
34 Brest U19 6 0 2 4 5:16 2
35 Slovan Bratislava U19 6 0 2 4 6:20 2
36 Sparta Prague U19 6 0 1 5 4:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 (Play Offs)