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Stadium Background

Lille vs Brann

Europe Europe

Europa League 2025/2026 Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
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Match Events

17'
Castro N.
46'
Sub
Pedersen T. In: De Roeve D.
Out: Pedersen T.
54' Event
Igamane H.
Assist: Fernandez-Pardo M.

AI Match Summary

The Europa League 2025/2026 game between Lille and Brann finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lille.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Lille
15%
Draws
37%
Brann
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lille

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / High Confidence
  • Lille's 1.83 goals per match outpaces what Brann have produced (1.5).
  • Model gives Lille a 50% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Lille Clean Sheet 18%
Brann Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lille Brann
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.83 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.83 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.17 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2025 Europa League
Lille vs Brann
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lille Compare

Top Goalscorer Igamane H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Giroud O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.92

Brann Compare

Top Goalscorer Magnusson S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lille 49 / 100
Brann 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lille Brann

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Brann conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

Lille scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Lille remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lille VS Brann
1.83 Goals Scored 1.5
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.63
67% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lille

(Home)
01 Aug
Leuven
3 : 6
Lille
25 Jul
Royale Union SG
2 : 1
Lille
18 Jul
Lille
3 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
17 May
Lille
0 : 2
Auxerre
10 May
Monaco
0 : 1
Lille
Page 1 of 6

Brann

(Away)
05 Aug
Brann
0 : 1
Apollon Limassol
02 Aug
Brann
3 : 2
Rosenborg
30 Jul
Brann
3 : 1
Universitatea Cluj
26 Jul
Brann
2 : 3
Valerenga
23 Jul
Universitatea Cluj
2 : 2
Brann
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lyon 8 7 0 1 18:5 21
2 Aston Villa 8 7 0 1 14:6 21
3 Midtjylland 8 6 1 1 18:8 19
4 Betis 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
5 FC Porto 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
6 Braga 8 5 2 1 11:5 17
7 Freiburg 8 5 2 1 10:4 17
8 AS Roma 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
9 Genk 8 5 1 2 11:7 16
10 Bologna 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
11 VfB Stuttgart 8 5 0 3 15:9 15
12 Ferencvaros 8 4 3 1 12:11 15
13 Nottingham 8 4 2 2 15:7 14
14 Plzen 8 3 5 0 8:3 14
15 Crvena zvezda 8 4 2 2 7:6 14
16 Celta Vigo 8 4 1 3 15:11 13
17 PAOK 8 3 3 2 17:14 12
18 Lille 8 4 0 4 12:9 12
19 Fenerbahce 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
20 Panathinaikos 8 3 3 2 11:9 12
21 Celtic 8 3 2 3 13:15 11
22 Ludogorets 8 3 1 4 12:15 10
23 Din. Zagreb 8 3 1 4 12:16 10
24 Brann 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
25 Young Boys 8 3 0 5 10:16 9
26 Sturm Graz 8 2 1 5 5:11 7
27 FCSB 8 2 1 5 9:16 7
28 G.A. Eagles 8 2 1 5 6:14 7
29 Feyenoord 8 2 0 6 11:15 6
30 Basel 8 2 0 6 9:13 6
31 Salzburg 8 2 0 6 10:15 6
32 Rangers 8 1 1 6 5:14 4
33 Nice 8 1 0 7 7:15 3
34 Utrecht 8 0 1 7 5:15 1
35 Malmo FF 8 0 1 7 4:15 1
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv 8 0 1 7 2:22 1
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)