Sport Picks
Lille vs Crvena zvezda Prediction & H2H Stats
Europe
Europa League 2025/2026 Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq 
Match Events
37'
37'
Stankovic D.
40'
40'
Correia F.
45'
45'
Tebo Uchenna F.
Assist: Enem J.
AI Match Summary
Crvena zvezda in this Europa League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Crvena zvezda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Crvena zvezda lately — more wins on the board than Lille.
- Crvena zvezda are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Crvena zvezda arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Crvena zvezda, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Crvena zvezda here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Lille Clean Sheet 16%
Crvena zvezda Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lille | Crvena zvezda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 19 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 26, 2026 Europa League
Crvena zvezda vs Lille
0:2
Feb 19, 2026 Europa League
Lille vs Crvena zvezda
0:1
Nov 6, 2025 Europa League
Crvena zvezda vs Lille
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lille Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Crvena zvezda Compare
Top Goalscorer Tebo Uchenna F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lille 19 / 100
Crvena zvezda 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lille Crvena zvezda
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Crvena zvezda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lille found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Lille has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Crvena zvezda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.
Games between these two average 1.33 goals.
Scoring Trends
Lille VS Crvena zvezda
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lille
(Home) 20 Sept
Nice
2 : 1 Lille
13 Sept
Lille
2 : 0 Troyes
08 Sept
Lille
2 : 3 Betis
03 Sept
Toulouse
0 : 1 Lille
28 Aug
Lille
2 : 2 PSG
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Lille
2 : 0 Troyes
08 Sept
Lille
2 : 3 Betis
28 Aug
Lille
2 : 2 PSG
18 Jul
Lille
3 : 0 RAAL La Louviere
17 May
Lille
0 : 2 Auxerre
Page 1 of 3
Crvena zvezda
(Away) 20 Sept
Crvena zvezda
3 : 0 Radnicki Nis
17 Sept
Zeleznicar Pancevo
1 : 2 Crvena zvezda
13 Sept
IMT Novi Beograd
0 : 1 Crvena zvezda
10 Sept
Radnik Surdulica
0 : 0 Crvena zvezda
06 Sept
Crvena zvezda
2 : 1 Partizan
Page 1 of 7
17 Sept
Zeleznicar Pancevo
1 : 2 Crvena zvezda
13 Sept
IMT Novi Beograd
0 : 1 Crvena zvezda
10 Sept
Radnik Surdulica
0 : 0 Crvena zvezda
30 Aug
Zemun
0 : 2 Crvena zvezda
27 Aug
Plzen
5 : 1 Crvena zvezda
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Ludogorets 2
Ferencvaros 3
Braga -
TBD -
Panathinaikos 4
Plzen 3
Betis -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb 4
Genk 6
Freiburg -
TBD -
PAOK 1
Celta Vigo 3
Lyon -
TBD -
Celtic 2
VfB Stuttgart 4
FC Porto -
TBD -
Fenerbahce 2
Nottingham 4
Midtjylland -
TBD -
Brann 0
Bologna 2
AS Roma -
TBD -
Lille 2
Crvena zvezda 1
Aston Villa -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Ferencvaros 2
Braga 4
Panathinaikos 1
Betis 4
Genk 2
Freiburg 5
Celta Vigo 3
Lyon 1
VfB Stuttgart 1
FC Porto 4
Nottingham 3
Midtjylland 2
Bologna 5
AS Roma 4
Lille 0
Aston Villa 3
Quarter-finals
Braga 5
Betis 3
Freiburg 6
Celta Vigo 1
FC Porto 1
Nottingham 2
Bologna 1
Aston Villa 7
Semi-finals
Braga 3
Freiburg 4
Nottingham 1
Aston Villa 4
Final
Freiburg 0
Aston Villa 3
