Sport Picks

Europe

Europa League 2025/2026 Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Crvena zvezda

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lille play Crvena zvezda in the Europa League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lille averaged 1.03 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Crvena zvezda averaged 2.27 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Lille won 1, Crvena zvezda won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 26, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.15 for Lille and 1.31 for Crvena zvezda. This points to a Crvena zvezda double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Lille

15%

Draws

51%

Crvena zvezda

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crvena zvezda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Lille picked up more points recently compared to Crvena zvezda.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.15 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Lille Clean Sheet 18%

Crvena zvezda Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lille	Crvena zvezda
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	22
Draws	5	5
Losses	11	3
Goals Scored	1.03	2.27
Goals Conceded	0.97	0.9
Expected Goals (xG)	1.17	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2026 Europa League

Crvena zvezda vs Lille

Possession: 44% - 48% Cards: 2 - 3

0:2

Feb 19, 2026 Europa League

Lille vs Crvena zvezda

Possession: 47% - 58% Cards: 3 - 4

0:1

Nov 6, 2025 Europa League

Crvena zvezda vs Lille

Possession: 52% - 60% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lille Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9

Avg xA / game 0.58

Crvena zvezda Compare

Top Goalscorer Tebo Uchenna F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lille 34 / 100

Crvena zvezda 49 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lille Crvena zvezda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Crvena zvezda or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +30.9%

3.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lille attacking → ← attacking Crvena zvezda

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lille scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Crvena zvezda let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Lille went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Crvena zvezda lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 71

1.17 Goals expected (xG) 2.13

0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13