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Lille vs Deinze

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Club Friendly 2024 Complexe Sportif de Luchin, Lille
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Alexsandro
23' Event
Morais T.
46'
Sub
Almenara G. In: Janssens C.
Out: Almenara G.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Lille and Deinze finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lille.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Lille
30%
Draws
23%
Deinze
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lille

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lille come out ahead of Deinze on wins alone.
  • Lille are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Lille Clean Sheet 20%
Deinze Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lille Deinze
Matches Played 29 14
Wins 14 5
Draws 8 2
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.41 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Lille vs Deinze
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lille Compare

Top Goalscorer Alexsandro
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morais T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Deinze Compare

Top Goalscorer Dierckx T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lille 40 / 100
Deinze 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lille Deinze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lille Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Lille scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Deinze has conceded goals in 64% of their last 14 outings.

Lille has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lille VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lille

(Home)
08 Sept
Lille
2 : 3
Betis
03 Sept
Toulouse
0 : 1
Lille
28 Aug
Lille
2 : 2
PSG
23 Aug
Angers
0 : 2
Lille
15 Aug
Everton
1 : 1
Lille
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Deinze

(Away)
06 Dec
Deinze
0 : 1
RFC Seraing
30 Nov
RFC Liege
3 : 0
Deinze
23 Nov
Deinze
0 : 3
Francs Borains
09 Nov
Lommel SK
1 : 1
Deinze
03 Nov
Deinze
3 : 1
SK Beveren
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