Sport Picks
Match Events
60'
60'
Sub
Grifo V. In: Scherhant D.
Out: Grifo V.
60'
60'
Sub
Adamu J. In: Matanovic I.
Out: Adamu J.
72'
72'
Andre B.
AI Match Summary
The Europa League 2025/2026 game between Lille and Freiburg finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lille.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Freiburg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Freiburg come out ahead of Lille on wins alone.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Freiburg taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Lille Clean Sheet 10%
Freiburg Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lille | Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 18 |
| Draws | 8 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 2.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 29, 2026 Europa League
Lille vs Freiburg
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lille 10 / 100
Freiburg 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lille Freiburg
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Freiburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lille scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Freiburg let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Lille went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Lille VS Freiburg
1.63 Goals Scored 3
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Lille
(Home) 20 Sept
Nice
2 : 1 Lille
13 Sept
Lille
2 : 0 Troyes
08 Sept
Lille
2 : 3 Betis
03 Sept
Toulouse
0 : 1 Lille
28 Aug
Lille
2 : 2 PSG
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Lille
2 : 0 Troyes
08 Sept
Lille
2 : 3 Betis
28 Aug
Lille
2 : 2 PSG
18 Jul
Lille
3 : 0 RAAL La Louviere
17 May
Lille
0 : 2 Auxerre
Page 1 of 3
Freiburg
(Away) 19 Sept
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 : 2 Freiburg
12 Sept
Freiburg
5 : 0 B. Monchengladbach
05 Sept
Paderborn
0 : 1 Freiburg
30 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1 Werder Bremen
27 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1 Motherwell
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 : 2 Freiburg
05 Sept
Paderborn
0 : 1 Freiburg
23 Aug
Dusseldorf
1 : 5 Freiburg
20 Aug
Motherwell
1 : 3 Freiburg
10 May
Hamburger
3 : 2 Freiburg
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:5 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Midtjylland | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Betis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 6 | Braga | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 17 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 17 |
| 8 | AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 16 |
| 9 | Genk | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 10 | Bologna | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:9 | 15 |
| 12 | Ferencvaros | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 13 | Nottingham | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 14 |
| 14 | Plzen | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 8:3 | 14 |
| 15 | Crvena zvezda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:11 | 13 |
| 17 | PAOK | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17:14 | 12 |
| 18 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:9 | 12 |
| 19 | Fenerbahce | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 20 | Panathinaikos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 21 | Celtic | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:15 | 11 |
| 22 | Ludogorets | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | 10 |
| 23 | Din. Zagreb | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 24 | Brann | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 25 | Young Boys | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:16 | 9 |
| 26 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:11 | 7 |
| 27 | FCSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 28 | G.A. Eagles | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | 7 |
| 29 | Feyenoord | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 30 | Basel | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:13 | 6 |
| 31 | Salzburg | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 6 |
| 32 | Rangers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:14 | 4 |
| 33 | Nice | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 34 | Utrecht | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:15 | 1 |
| 35 | Malmo FF | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:15 | 1 |
| 36 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2:22 | 1 |
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
