Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Gourna-Douath L.
29'
29'
Haraldsson H.
Assist: Perraud R.
33'
33'
Soumare I.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Lille and Le Havre finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lille
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Le Havre haven't matched Lille's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Lille's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Lille Clean Sheet 20%
Le Havre Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lille | Le Havre |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Ligue 1
Lille vs Le Havre
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Lille
0:1
Feb 8, 2025 Ligue 1
Lille vs Le Havre
1:2
Sep 28, 2024 Ligue 1
Le Havre vs Lille
0:3
Feb 17, 2024 Ligue 1
Lille vs Le Havre
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lille Compare
Top Goalscorer Haraldsson H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Le Havre Compare
Top Goalscorer Soumare I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lille 36 / 100
Le Havre 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lille Le Havre
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lille scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Le Havre's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Lille has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lille VS Le Havre
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Lille
(Home) 02 Oct
Lille
2 : 1 Waregem
20 Sept
Nice
2 : 1 Lille
13 Sept
Lille
2 : 0 Troyes
08 Sept
Lille
2 : 3 Betis
03 Sept
Toulouse
0 : 1 Lille
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Lille
2 : 1 Waregem
13 Sept
Lille
2 : 0 Troyes
08 Sept
Lille
2 : 3 Betis
28 Aug
Lille
2 : 2 PSG
18 Jul
Lille
3 : 0 RAAL La Louviere
Page 1 of 3
Le Havre
(Away) 02 Oct
Le Havre
6 : 1 Boulogne
19 Sept
Toulouse
3 : 2 Le Havre
12 Sept
Le Havre
0 : 0 Angers
05 Sept
Le Havre
1 : 2 Brest
29 Aug
Lyon
1 : 1 Le Havre
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Toulouse
3 : 2 Le Havre
29 Aug
Lyon
1 : 1 Le Havre
15 Aug
Le Mans
0 : 1 Le Havre
08 Aug
Real Oviedo
3 : 2 Le Havre
04 Aug
Ipswich
1 : 0 Le Havre
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Lens | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 70 |
| 3 | Lille | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 61 |
| 4 | Lyon | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 60 |
| 5 | Marseille | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 59 |
| 6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 59 |
| 7 | Monaco | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 54 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 53 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:46 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorient | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | 45 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | 44 |
| 12 | Brest | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | 39 |
| 13 | Angers | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | 36 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | 35 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | 34 |
| 16 | Nice | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 17 | Nantes | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 29:52 | 24 |
| 18 | Metz | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | 17 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)
