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Lille vs Waregem - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Mbaye M.
17' Event
Sahraoui O.
35' Event
Giroud O.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Lille in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lille.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Lille
15%
Draws
26%
Waregem
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lille

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Waregem lately — more wins on the board than Lille.
  • Model gives Lille a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Lille Clean Sheet 17%
Waregem Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lille Waregem
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.57 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Club Friendly
Lille vs Waregem
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lille Compare

Top Goalscorer Sahraoui O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Waregem Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbaye M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lille 57 / 100
Waregem 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lille Waregem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lille Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lille found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Waregem has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Lille remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lille VS Waregem
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lille

(Home)
02 Oct
Lille
2 : 1
Waregem
20 Sept
Nice
2 : 1
Lille
13 Sept
Lille
2 : 0
Troyes
08 Sept
Lille
2 : 3
Betis
03 Sept
Toulouse
0 : 1
Lille
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Waregem

(Away)
02 Oct
Lille
2 : 1
Waregem
19 Sept
Anderlecht
3 : 0
Waregem
13 Sept
Waregem
0 : 1
Charleroi
06 Sept
Kortrijk
0 : 2
Waregem
30 Aug
Westerlo
2 : 2
Waregem
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