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Lille W vs Auxerre W

France France

Seconde Ligue Women
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
35' Event
44' Event

AI Match Summary

Lille W in this Seconde Ligue Women matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lille W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Lille W
15%
Draws
51%
Auxerre W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auxerre W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Auxerre W have won more games recently than Lille W.
  • Lille W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lille W Clean Sheet 13%
Auxerre W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lille W Auxerre W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.32 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W vs Auxerre W
3:2
Mar 29, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W vs Auxerre W
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Auxerre W vs Lille W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lille W 40 / 100
Auxerre W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lille W Auxerre W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lille W found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Auxerre W has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Auxerre W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lille W VS Auxerre W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lille W

(Home)
13 Sept
Lille W
2 : 2
Bourges 18 W
06 Sept
Lille W
3 : 2
Auxerre W
29 Aug
Nice W
3 : 2
Lille W
22 Aug
Lille W
0 : 2
Montpellier W
24 May
Reims W
3 : 1
Lille W
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Auxerre W

(Away)
13 Sept
Auxerre W
2 : 0
Nice W
06 Sept
Lille W
3 : 2
Auxerre W
28 Aug
Auxerre W
1 : 2
Strasbourg W
22 Aug
Metz W
2 : 4
Auxerre W
15 Aug
Auxerre W
1 : 3
St Etienne W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cannes W 2 1 1 0 6:2 4
2 Le Mans W 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 Metz W 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
4 Lille W 2 1 1 0 5:4 4
5 Auxerre W 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
6 St Etienne W 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
7 Thonon Evian W 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Roubaix W 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Bourges 18 W 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
10 Nice W 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
11 Grenoble W 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)