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Lille W vs Auxerre W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W Logo

Lille W

3 - 2
FT
Auxerre W Logo

Auxerre W

Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Ali Nadjim N.
35' Event
Monguillon C.
44' Event
Vinatier A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lille W in this Seconde Ligue Women matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lille W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Lille W
30%
Draws
31%
Auxerre W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lille W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Auxerre W have won more games recently than Lille W.
  • Auxerre W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Lille W Clean Sheet 13%
Auxerre W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lille W Auxerre W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.23 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W vs Auxerre W
3:2
Mar 29, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W vs Auxerre W
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Auxerre W vs Lille W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lille W Compare

Top Goalscorer Monguillon C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Giaimo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Auxerre W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinatier A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mabomba G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lille W 27 / 100
Auxerre W 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lille W Auxerre W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auxerre W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lille W found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Auxerre W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Lille W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lille W VS Auxerre W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lille W

(Home)
01 Nov
Le Mans W
4 : 0
Lille W
25 Oct
Lille W
1 : 1
Thonon Evian W
21 Oct
Lille W
0 : 1
Cannes W
18 Oct
Roubaix W
0 : 1
Lille W
04 Oct
Lille W
1 : 1
Grenoble W
Page 1 of 6

Auxerre W

(Away)
01 Nov
St Etienne W
2 : 0
Auxerre W
25 Oct
Auxerre W
2 : 2
Le Mans W
21 Oct
Auxerre W
5 : 1
Nice W
17 Oct
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Auxerre W
04 Oct
Auxerre W
0 : 1
Roubaix W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne W 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
2 Le Mans W 6 3 3 0 11:5 12
3 Roubaix W 6 3 2 1 11:3 11
4 Lille W 7 2 4 1 8:10 10
5 Cannes W 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
6 Thonon Evian W 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
7 Grenoble W 7 2 2 3 6:10 8
8 Metz W 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
9 Auxerre W 7 2 1 4 9:11 7
10 Nice W 7 1 2 4 3:11 5
11 Bourges 18 W 6 1 1 4 5:10 4
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)