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Lille W vs Grenoble W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Seconde Ligue Women
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Monguillon C.
90' Event
Malaussena A.

AI Match Summary

The Seconde Ligue Women game between Lille W and Grenoble W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Lille W
35%
Draws
26%
Grenoble W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lille W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grenoble W come out ahead of Lille W on wins alone.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Lille W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Lille W Clean Sheet 16%
Grenoble W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lille W Grenoble W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.27 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W vs Grenoble W
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W vs Grenoble W
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Grenoble W vs Lille W
1:2
Jan 26, 2020 Seconde Ligue Women
Grenoble W vs Lille W
1:2
Sep 22, 2019 Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W vs Grenoble W
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lille W Compare

Top Goalscorer Monguillon C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Grenoble W Compare

Top Goalscorer Malaussena A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lille W 66 / 100
Grenoble W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lille W Grenoble W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lille W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Grenoble W conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Lille W's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Lille W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lille W VS Grenoble W
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lille W

(Home)
04 Oct
Lille W
1 : 1
Grenoble W
26 Sept
Strasbourg W
4 : 3
Lille W
20 Sept
Nice W
0 : 0
Lille W
13 Sept
Lille W
2 : 2
Bourges 18 W
06 Sept
Lille W
3 : 2
Auxerre W
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Grenoble W

(Away)
04 Oct
Lille W
1 : 1
Grenoble W
27 Sept
Grenoble W
3 : 0
Cannes W
20 Sept
Grenoble W
2 : 3
Auxerre W
13 Sept
Cannes W
5 : 1
Grenoble W
05 Sept
Grenoble W
0 : 1
Metz W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Roubaix W 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Le Mans W 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Metz W 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
4 Cannes W 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
5 Lille W 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
6 Auxerre W 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 St Etienne W 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
8 Nice W 4 1 2 1 2:3 5
9 Thonon Evian W 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
10 Bourges 18 W 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
11 Grenoble W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)