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Lille W vs Thonon Evian W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Seconde Ligue Women
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lille W host Thonon Evian W in the Seconde Ligue Women. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Lille W at 1.27 goals for, 1.53 against; Thonon Evian W at 1.63 for, 1.57 against. Past meetings favor Thonon Evian W slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.63 - 2.25) back Thonon Evian W to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Lille W
35%
Draws
26%
Thonon Evian W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lille W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Thonon Evian W lately — more wins on the board than Lille W.
  • Lille W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Lille W Clean Sheet 10%
Thonon Evian W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lille W Thonon Evian W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.27 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W vs Thonon Evian W
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Lille W
2:3
Apr 20, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W vs Thonon Evian W
1:2
Nov 17, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Lille W
2:0
May 17, 2020 Seconde Ligue Women
Thonon Evian W vs Lille W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lille W 56 / 100
Thonon Evian W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lille W Thonon Evian W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lille W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lille W found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Thonon Evian W has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Lille W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lille W VS Thonon Evian W
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lille W

(Home)
04 Oct
Lille W
1 : 1
Grenoble W
26 Sept
Strasbourg W
4 : 3
Lille W
20 Sept
Nice W
0 : 0
Lille W
13 Sept
Lille W
2 : 2
Bourges 18 W
06 Sept
Lille W
3 : 2
Auxerre W
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Thonon Evian W

(Away)
04 Oct
Cannes W
1 : 0
Thonon Evian W
26 Sept
Marseille W
6 : 1
Thonon Evian W
19 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 2
Metz W
06 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 1
St Etienne W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Toulouse W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Roubaix W 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Le Mans W 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Metz W 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
4 Cannes W 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
5 Lille W 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
6 Auxerre W 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 St Etienne W 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
8 Nice W 4 1 2 1 2:3 5
9 Thonon Evian W 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
10 Bourges 18 W 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
11 Grenoble W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)