Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lillestrom 2 vs Sander

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lillestrom 2 in this Division 3 - Group 3 2014 matchup, with the score ending 9-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lillestrom 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Lillestrom 2
15%
Draws
34%
Sander
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lillestrom 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lillestrom 2 lately — more wins on the board than Sander.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Lillestrom 2 taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 3 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Lillestrom 2 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Lillestrom 2 Clean Sheet 18%
Sander Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lillestrom 2 Sander
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 0 2
Losses 15 24
Goals Scored 3.16 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.19 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2016 Division 3 - Group 3
Lillestrom 2 vs Sander
7:2
Jun 15, 2016 Division 3 - Group 3
Sander vs Lillestrom 2
0:1
Sep 9, 2014 Division 3 - Group 3
Lillestrom 2 vs Sander
9:1
May 26, 2014 Division 3 - Group 3
Sander vs Lillestrom 2
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lillestrom 2 85 / 100
Sander 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lillestrom 2 Sander

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillestrom 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillestrom 2 found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Sander conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.25 goals.

Difficult form: Sander registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lillestrom 2 VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lillestrom 2

(Home)
14 Sept
Skedsmo
2 : 1
Lillestrom 2
06 Sept
Lillestrom 2
11 : 0
Bossekop
30 Aug
Finnsnes
0 : 1
Lillestrom 2
16 Aug
Lillestrom 2
3 : 4
Harstad
10 Aug
Skjetten
2 : 1
Lillestrom 2
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Sander

(Away)
22 Oct
Skedsmo
2 : 0
Sander
15 Oct
Sander
0 : 1
Hauerseter
10 Oct
Lillestrom 2
7 : 2
Sander
01 Oct
Sander
2 : 2
Jevnaker
24 Sept
Sander
7 : 3
Hallingdal
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