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Lillestrom 2 vs Tromso 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lillestrom 2 play Tromso 2 in the Division 3 - Group 5. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lillestrom 2 averaged 2.87 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. Tromso 2 averaged 2.03 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Lillestrom 2 won 3, Tromso 2 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 28, 2026 ended 5:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.44 for Lillestrom 2 and 1.88 for Tromso 2. This points to a Lillestrom 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Lillestrom 2
15%
Draws
32%
Tromso 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lillestrom 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Lillestrom 2 picked up more points recently compared to Tromso 2.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.44 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 98%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Lillestrom 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Tromso 2 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 88%
Second Half Goal 93%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lillestrom 2 Tromso 2
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 9
Draws 2 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 2.87 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.27 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Lillestrom 2 vs Tromso 2
5:3
Sep 17, 2022 Division 3 - Group 6
Tromso 2 vs Lillestrom 2
2:1
May 14, 2022 Division 3 - Group 6
Lillestrom 2 vs Tromso 2
2:0
Aug 12, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Tromso 2 vs Lillestrom 2
4:1
Jun 17, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Lillestrom 2 vs Tromso 2
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lillestrom 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersen L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reshane F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Tromso 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Evensen-Jensen A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mikkelsen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lillestrom 2 50 / 100
Tromso 2 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lillestrom 2 Tromso 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillestrom 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Lillestrom 2 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.4%
1.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lillestrom 2 attacking → ← attacking Tromso 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillestrom 2 scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Tromso 2 let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Lillestrom 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tromso 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 35
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13