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Lillestrom 2 vs Tromso 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Andersen L.
18' Event
Reshane F.
23' Event
Prestholt L.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 game between Lillestrom 2 and Tromso 2 finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lillestrom 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Lillestrom 2
15%
Draws
34%
Tromso 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lillestrom 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lillestrom 2 come out ahead of Tromso 2 on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Lillestrom 2 taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Lillestrom 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Tromso 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lillestrom 2 Tromso 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 0 6
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 3.03 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Lillestrom 2 vs Tromso 2
5:3
Sep 17, 2022 Division 3 - Group 6
Tromso 2 vs Lillestrom 2
2:1
May 14, 2022 Division 3 - Group 6
Lillestrom 2 vs Tromso 2
2:0
Aug 12, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Tromso 2 vs Lillestrom 2
4:1
Jun 17, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Lillestrom 2 vs Tromso 2
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lillestrom 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersen L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reshane F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Tromso 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Evensen-Jensen A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mikkelsen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lillestrom 2 74 / 100
Tromso 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lillestrom 2 Tromso 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillestrom 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillestrom 2's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Tromso 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Tromso 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lillestrom 2 VS Tromso 2
3.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lillestrom 2

(Home)
20 Sept
Lillestrom 2
2 : 4
Fauske Sprint
14 Sept
Skedsmo
2 : 1
Lillestrom 2
06 Sept
Lillestrom 2
11 : 0
Bossekop
30 Aug
Finnsnes
0 : 1
Lillestrom 2
16 Aug
Lillestrom 2
3 : 4
Harstad
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Tromso 2

(Away)
21 Sept
Tromso 2
6 : 0
Kongsvinger 2
14 Sept
Skjetten
3 : 2
Tromso 2
06 Sept
Tromso 2
0 : 1
Harstad
30 Aug
Skedsmo
3 : 1
Tromso 2
17 Aug
Bossekop
3 : 3
Tromso 2
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