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Lillestrom U19 vs Tromso U19

Norway Norway

Nasjonal U19 CL 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Waehler M.
46' Event
Mikkelsen M.
53' Event
Bjerkenes O.

AI Match Summary

The Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 game between Lillestrom U19 and Tromso U19 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lillestrom U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Lillestrom U19
15%
Draws
31%
Tromso U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lillestrom U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Lillestrom U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lillestrom U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • Lillestrom U19 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
Lillestrom U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Tromso U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lillestrom U19 Tromso U19
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 15
Draws 5 3
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.68 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Nasjonal U19 CL
Lillestrom U19 vs Tromso U19
4:1
Aug 20, 2026 Nasjonal U19 CL
Tromso U19 vs Lillestrom U19
1:3
Mar 11, 2026 Nasjonal U19 CL
Lillestrom U19 vs Tromso U19
3:2
Mar 9, 2025 Nasjonal U19 CL
Tromso U19 vs Lillestrom U19
4:3
Mar 1, 2025 Nasjonal U19 CL
Lillestrom U19 vs Tromso U19
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lillestrom U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Waehler M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bjerkenes O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Tromso U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikkelsen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lillestrom U19 83 / 100
Tromso U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lillestrom U19 Tromso U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillestrom U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillestrom U19 found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (31 games).

Tromso U19 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Lillestrom U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lillestrom U19 VS Tromso U19
3.13 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lillestrom U19

(Home)
26 Aug
Lillestrom U19
4 : 1
Tromso U19
20 Aug
Tromso U19
1 : 3
Lillestrom U19
06 Aug
Lillestrom U19
6 : 0
Aalesund U19
28 Jul
Aalesund U19
3 : 1
Lillestrom U19
14 Mar
Aalesund U19
0 : 5
Lillestrom U19
Page 1 of 7

Tromso U19

(Away)
26 Aug
Lillestrom U19
4 : 1
Tromso U19
20 Aug
Tromso U19
1 : 3
Lillestrom U19
05 Aug
Tromso U19
2 : 1
Stromsgodset U19
29 Jul
Stromsgodset U19
1 : 1
Tromso U19
15 Apr
Bodo/Glimt U19
1 : 2
Tromso U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Odds BK U19 6 3 2 1 13:11 11
2 Haugesund U19 6 3 1 2 18:12 10
3 Viking U19 6 3 0 3 13:10 9
4 Start U19 6 1 1 4 8:19 4
Promotion - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Losers Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aalesund U19 6 3 2 1 9:7 11
2 Stabaek U19 6 2 2 2 14:11 8
3 Rosenborg U19 6 2 2 2 15:13 8
4 Molde U19 6 1 2 3 8:15 5
Promotion - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Losers Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tromso U19 6 5 0 1 20:8 15
2 Lillestrom U19 6 4 0 2 18:10 12
3 Bodo/Glimt U19 6 2 0 4 7:18 6
4 Ham-Kam U19 6 1 0 5 6:15 3
Promotion - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Losers Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valerenga U19 6 4 0 2 18:13 12
2 Brann U19 6 3 0 3 18:11 9
3 Stromsgodset U19 6 3 0 3 18:26 9
4 Sogndal U19 6 2 0 4 14:18 6
Promotion - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Nasjonal U19 CL 2025 (Losers Play Offs)