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Lillestrom U19 vs Tromso U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Norway Norway

Nasjonal U19 CL
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Kristiansen M.
37' Event
Kristiansen M.
49' Event
Prestholt L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Lillestrom U19
15%
Draws
31%
Tromso U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lillestrom U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lillestrom U19 lately — more wins on the board than Tromso U19.
  • Model gives Lillestrom U19 a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Lillestrom U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lillestrom U19, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • History favors Lillestrom U19 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
Lillestrom U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Tromso U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lillestrom U19 Tromso U19
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 19 17
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.94 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.91 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Nasjonal U19 CL
Lillestrom U19 vs Tromso U19
4:1
Aug 20, 2026 Nasjonal U19 CL
Tromso U19 vs Lillestrom U19
1:3
Mar 11, 2026 Nasjonal U19 CL
Lillestrom U19 vs Tromso U19
3:2
Mar 9, 2025 Nasjonal U19 CL
Tromso U19 vs Lillestrom U19
4:3
Mar 1, 2025 Nasjonal U19 CL
Lillestrom U19 vs Tromso U19
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lillestrom U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kristiansen M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Prestholt L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Tromso U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Molund E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lillestrom U19 83 / 100
Tromso U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lillestrom U19 Tromso U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillestrom U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillestrom U19 scored in 94% of their last 35 games.

Defensive concern: Tromso U19 conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Lillestrom U19 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lillestrom U19 VS Tromso U19
3.13 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lillestrom U19

(Home)
26 Aug
Lillestrom U19
4 : 1
Tromso U19
20 Aug
Tromso U19
1 : 3
Lillestrom U19
06 Aug
Lillestrom U19
6 : 0
Aalesund U19
28 Jul
Aalesund U19
3 : 1
Lillestrom U19
14 Mar
Aalesund U19
0 : 5
Lillestrom U19
Page 1 of 7

Tromso U19

(Away)
26 Aug
Lillestrom U19
4 : 1
Tromso U19
20 Aug
Tromso U19
1 : 3
Lillestrom U19
05 Aug
Tromso U19
2 : 1
Stromsgodset U19
29 Jul
Stromsgodset U19
1 : 1
Tromso U19
15 Apr
Bodo/Glimt U19
1 : 2
Tromso U19
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Lillestrom U19 -
TBD -
Haugesund U19 1
Aalesund U19 2
Tromso U19 -
TBD -
Stromsgodset U19 6
Sandnes Ulf U19 2
Ham-Kam U19 -
TBD -
Odds BK U19 4
Kfum Oslo U19 0
Rosenborg U19 -
TBD -
Molde U19 3
Moss U19 2
Stabaek U19 -
TBD -
Sarpsborg 08 U19 1
Fredrikstad U19 2
Sandefjord U19 -
TBD -
Asane U19 4
Sogndal U19 0
Lyn U19 -
TBD -
Viking U19 4
Kristiansund U19 3
Brann U19 -
TBD -
Valerenga U19 2
Kongsvinger U19 0
1/8-finals
Lillestrom U19 7
Aalesund U19 3
Tromso U19 3
Stromsgodset U19 2
Ham-Kam U19 10
Odds BK U19 3
Rosenborg U19 6
Molde U19 2
Stabaek U19 3
Fredrikstad U19 6
Sandefjord U19 3
Asane U19 9
Lyn U19 4
Viking U19 10
Brann U19 4
Valerenga U19 2
Quarter-finals
Lillestrom U19 7
Tromso U19 2
Ham-Kam U19 1
Rosenborg U19 9
Fredrikstad U19 6
Asane U19 5
Viking U19 0
Brann U19 5
Semi-finals
Lillestrom U19 -
Rosenborg U19 -
Fredrikstad U19 -
Brann U19 -
Final
TBD -
TBD -