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Lillestrom vs Brann - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrøm
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lillestrom host Brann in the Eliteserien. Little to choose between these two on current form. Brann have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Lillestrom have conceded 1.28 and scored 1.48. Head-to-head, Lillestrom have won 1 to Brann's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.56, favoring Lillestrom. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Lillestrom
15%
Draws
34%
Brann
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lillestrom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brann lately — more wins on the board than Lillestrom.
  • Win probability leans Lillestrom's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Lillestrom Clean Sheet 15%
Brann Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lillestrom Brann
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 14 15
Draws 3 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.48 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Eliteserien
Brann vs Lillestrom
1:2
Nov 9, 2024 Eliteserien
Brann vs Lillestrom
2:1
May 12, 2024 Eliteserien
Lillestrom vs Brann
0:2
Oct 1, 2023 Eliteserien
Lillestrom vs Brann
0:2
Jun 11, 2023 Eliteserien
Brann vs Lillestrom
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lillestrom 66 / 100
Brann 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lillestrom Brann

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillestrom Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brann let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.

Lillestrom found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Lillestrom stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lillestrom VS Brann
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lillestrom

(Home)
01 Oct
Baerum
1 : 5
Lillestrom
20 Sept
Viking
3 : 0
Lillestrom
17 Sept
Lillestrom
1 : 2
Torreense
12 Sept
Lillestrom
2 : 0
Valerenga
05 Sept
Brann
1 : 2
Lillestrom
Page 1 of 6

Brann

(Away)
09 Oct
Brann
0 : 2
Viking
02 Oct
Start
2 : 1
Brann
20 Sept
Brann
2 : 1
Bodo/Glimt
16 Sept
OS TF
1 : 2
Brann
13 Sept
Start
2 : 0
Brann
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viking 22 17 2 3 56:20 53
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 16 2 3 53:19 50
3 Tromso 21 11 5 5 40:29 38
4 Molde 21 11 3 7 44:32 36
5 Rosenborg 21 10 3 8 39:30 33
6 Lillestrom 21 10 2 9 28:29 32
7 Brann 22 9 2 11 39:34 29
8 Fredrikstad 21 8 4 9 25:32 28
9 Sarpsborg 08 21 6 7 8 24:29 25
10 KFUM Oslo 21 7 4 10 25:35 25
11 Sandefjord 21 6 5 10 21:27 23
12 Valerenga 21 6 5 10 34:43 23
13 Ham-Kam 21 6 5 10 29:44 23
14 Aalesund 21 4 9 8 33:46 21
15 Kristiansund 21 5 4 12 21:40 19
16 Start 21 4 4 13 22:44 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)