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Lillestrom vs Plzen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrøm
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Match Events

10' Event
Adu P.
Assist: Hrosovsky P.
24'
Ranger L.
32'
Dweh S.

AI Match Summary

The Europa League game between Lillestrom and Plzen finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Plzen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Lillestrom
15%
Draws
36%
Plzen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lillestrom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lillestrom come out ahead of Plzen on wins alone.
  • Model gives Plzen a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Lillestrom Clean Sheet 10%
Plzen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lillestrom Plzen
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 13 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.5 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lillestrom Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Plzen Compare

Top Goalscorer Adu P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lillestrom 10 / 100
Plzen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lillestrom Plzen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Plzen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillestrom found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Plzen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 26 matches.

Lillestrom went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Plzen has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lillestrom VS Plzen
1.88 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lillestrom

(Home)
01 Nov
Start
0 : 1
Lillestrom
28 Oct
Lillestrom
2 : 1
Sogndal
25 Oct
Lillestrom
3 : 2
Brann
22 Oct
Lillestrom
0 : 6
Real Sociedad
18 Oct
Sandefjord
0 : 2
Lillestrom
Page 1 of 6

Plzen

(Away)
01 Nov
Ostrava
0 : 4
Plzen
28 Oct
Jihlava
1 : 6
Plzen
25 Oct
Plzen
1 : 2
FK Pardubice
22 Oct
Plzen
1 : 2
Levski Sofia
18 Oct
Jablonec
2 : 3
Plzen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olympiacos Piraeus 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
2 Benfica 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
3 Bayer Leverkusen 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
4 Bournemouth 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
5 Ferencvaros 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
6 Royale Union SG 3 2 1 0 8:1 7
7 Juventus 3 2 1 0 9:3 7
8 Besiktas 3 2 1 0 9:5 7
9 Sunderland 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
10 AZ Alkmaar 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
11 Omonia 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
12 Rennes 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
13 Lyon 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
14 Real Sociedad 3 1 1 1 8:3 4
15 Crystal Palace 3 1 1 1 8:5 4
16 Sparta Prague 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
17 Levski Sofia 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
18 Din. Zagreb 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
19 Sturm Graz 3 1 1 1 1:3 4
20 Nijmegen 3 1 1 1 5:8 4
21 Salzburg 3 1 1 1 3:6 4
22 Anderlecht 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
23 Hoffenheim 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
24 AC Milan 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
25 Celta Vigo 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
26 OFI Crete 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
27 Jagiellonia 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
28 Torreense 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
29 Celje 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
30 H. Beer Sheva 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
31 Lillestrom 3 0 1 2 2:9 1
32 Lech Poznan 3 0 1 2 1:9 1
33 Plzen 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
34 Marseille 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
35 Celtic 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
36 Ararat-Armenia 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)