Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lillestrom vs Rosenborg

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrøm
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Svensson J.
39' Event
Sahsah N.
Assist: Chiakha A.
46'
Sub
Svensson J. In: Witry A. F.
Out: Svensson J.

AI Match Summary

The Eliteserien game between Lillestrom and Rosenborg finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rosenborg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Lillestrom
15%
Draws
51%
Rosenborg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rosenborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Lillestrom carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Rosenborg taking it.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Lillestrom Clean Sheet 12%
Rosenborg Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lillestrom Rosenborg
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.77 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Eliteserien
Lillestrom vs Rosenborg
0:2
May 10, 2026 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Lillestrom
2:0
Sep 15, 2024 Eliteserien
Lillestrom vs Rosenborg
1:1
Aug 21, 2024 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Lillestrom
4:0
Sep 24, 2023 Eliteserien
Lillestrom vs Rosenborg
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lillestrom Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Rosenborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Sahsah N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chiakha A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lillestrom 19 / 100
Rosenborg 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lillestrom Rosenborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillestrom found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Rosenborg has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Lillestrom stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lillestrom VS Rosenborg
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lillestrom

(Home)
09 Aug
Lillestrom
0 : 2
Rosenborg
31 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 0
Lillestrom
22 Jul
Lillestrom
1 : 2
Viking
18 Jul
Lillestrom
2 : 1
KFUM Oslo
11 Jul
Fredrikstad
0 : 2
Lillestrom
Page 1 of 6

Rosenborg

(Away)
09 Aug
Lillestrom
0 : 2
Rosenborg
02 Aug
Brann
3 : 2
Rosenborg
27 Jul
Rosenborg
4 : 0
Fredrikstad
24 Jul
Rosenborg
0 : 5
Manchester United
18 Jul
Start
0 : 3
Rosenborg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bodo/Glimt 17 13 2 2 43:12 41
2 Viking 16 13 1 2 39:15 40
3 Tromso 16 10 4 2 32:17 34
4 Lillestrom 16 8 1 7 22:20 25
5 Molde 16 7 3 6 29:24 24
6 Brann 16 7 1 8 33:27 22
7 Sarpsborg 08 16 6 4 6 19:21 22
8 Ham-Kam 16 6 4 6 24:27 22
9 Rosenborg 16 6 3 7 23:21 21
10 Valerenga 16 6 2 8 23:29 20
11 Fredrikstad 16 6 2 8 17:27 20
12 KFUM Oslo 16 5 3 8 18:26 18
13 Sandefjord 16 4 3 9 13:22 15
14 Kristiansund 16 4 3 9 15:26 15
15 Aalesund 16 2 8 6 22:36 14
16 Start 17 2 4 11 16:38 10
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)