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Lillestrom vs Stabaek

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Tobiassen B.
46'
Sub
Waehler M. In: Svenningsen L.
Out: Waehler M.
46'
Sub
Garnas E. B. In: Arierhi K.
Out: Garnas E. B.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Lillestrom and Stabaek finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stabaek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Lillestrom
11%
Draws
80%
Stabaek
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Stabaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Lillestrom haven't matched Stabaek's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Stabaek a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lillestrom Clean Sheet 12%
Stabaek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lillestrom Stabaek
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Club Friendly
Lillestrom vs Stabaek
1:3
Nov 8, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Lillestrom vs Stabaek
3:0
Apr 21, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Stabaek vs Lillestrom
0:3
Mar 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Stabaek vs Lillestrom
0:1
Oct 8, 2023 Eliteserien
Stabaek vs Lillestrom
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lillestrom Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabrielsen R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Stabaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Tobiassen B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Obasi O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lillestrom 11 / 100
Stabaek 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lillestrom Stabaek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillestrom's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Stabaek's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Lillestrom has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lillestrom VS Stabaek
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lillestrom

(Home)
22 Jul
Lillestrom
1 : 2
Viking
18 Jul
Lillestrom
2 : 1
KFUM Oslo
11 Jul
Fredrikstad
0 : 2
Lillestrom
03 Jul
Lillestrom
3 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
26 Jun
Lillestrom
2 : 3
Degerfors
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Stabaek

(Away)
27 Jul
Stabaek
6 : 0
Hodd
03 Jul
Ranheim
2 : 5
Stabaek
27 Jun
Stabaek
2 : 0
Bryne
21 Jun
Strommen
1 : 0
Stabaek
14 Jun
Stabaek
3 : 1
Egersund
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