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Limavady vs Ballymena

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Limavady Showgrounds, Limavady
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Limavady host Ballymena in the NIFL Premiership. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Limavady at 1.29 goals for, 0.89 against; Ballymena at 1.83 for, 1.31 against. Past meetings favor Ballymena slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 6, 2024, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.38) point toward Limavady. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Limavady
30%
Draws
23%
Ballymena
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Limavady

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Limavady lately — more wins on the board than Ballymena.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Limavady Clean Sheet 17%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Limavady Ballymena
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 4 11
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.29 1.83
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Limavady vs Ballymena
3:2
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Limavady vs Ballymena
1:2
Jul 23, 2022 Club Friendly
Limavady vs Ballymena
1:1
Jul 28, 2018 Club Friendly
Limavady vs Ballymena
1:1
Jul 29, 2017 Club Friendly
Limavady vs Ballymena
1:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Limavady 30 / 100
Ballymena 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Limavady Ballymena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Limavady Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Ballymena let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Limavady's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Limavady remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Limavady VS Ballymena
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Limavady

(Home)
19 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 0
Limavady
15 Sept
Limavady
3 : 1
Bangor FC
12 Sept
Crusaders
1 : 2
Limavady
05 Sept
Limavady
0 : 2
Dungannon
29 Aug
Limavady
0 : 2
Linfield
Page 1 of 6

Ballymena

(Away)
19 Sept
Dungannon
1 : 1
Ballymena
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1
Carrick Rangers
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2
Ballymena
05 Sept
Bangor FC
2 : 2
Ballymena
21 Aug
Ballymena
0 : 2
Glentoran
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 8 7 1 0 18:5 22
2 Linfield 8 6 1 1 9:5 19
3 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
4 Dungannon 8 4 1 3 9:8 13
5 Cliftonville 8 4 0 4 12:10 12
6 Crusaders 8 4 0 4 13:13 12
7 Glentoran 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Carrick Rangers 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
9 Ballymena 7 1 3 3 10:11 6
10 Limavady 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
11 Bangor FC 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
12 Portadown 8 0 1 7 5:17 1
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)