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Limavady vs Dungannon

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Limavady Showgrounds, Limavady
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Alves L.
46'
Sub
Bigirimana G. In: Kelly T.
Out: Bigirimana G.
51'
Scott J.

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Premiership game between Limavady and Dungannon finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dungannon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Limavady
15%
Draws
46%
Dungannon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dungannon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dungannon come out ahead of Limavady on wins alone.
  • Dungannon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Limavady Clean Sheet 17%
Dungannon Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Limavady Dungannon
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.29 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Limavady vs Dungannon
0:2
Nov 2, 2021 Irish League Cup
Limavady vs Dungannon
3:2
Aug 28, 2018 Irish League Cup
Dungannon vs Limavady
2:1
Jan 6, 2018 Irish Cup
Dungannon vs Limavady
4:0
Mar 22, 2008 NIFL Premiership
Limavady vs Dungannon
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Limavady Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Dungannon Compare

Top Goalscorer Alves L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ogedi-Uzokwe J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Limavady 10 / 100
Dungannon 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Limavady Dungannon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dungannon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Dungannon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Limavady scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Limavady stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Limavady VS Dungannon
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Limavady

(Home)
19 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 0
Limavady
15 Sept
Limavady
3 : 1
Bangor FC
12 Sept
Crusaders
1 : 2
Limavady
05 Sept
Limavady
0 : 2
Dungannon
29 Aug
Limavady
0 : 2
Linfield
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Dungannon

(Away)
19 Sept
Dungannon
1 : 1
Ballymena
15 Sept
Crusaders
3 : 0
Dungannon
12 Sept
Dungannon
0 : 1
Linfield
05 Sept
Limavady
0 : 2
Dungannon
29 Aug
Cliftonville
0 : 2
Dungannon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 8 7 1 0 18:5 22
2 Linfield 8 6 1 1 9:5 19
3 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
4 Dungannon 8 4 1 3 9:8 13
5 Cliftonville 8 4 0 4 12:10 12
6 Crusaders 8 4 0 4 13:13 12
7 Glentoran 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
8 Carrick Rangers 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
9 Ballymena 7 1 3 3 10:11 6
10 Limavady 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
11 Bangor FC 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
12 Portadown 8 0 1 7 5:17 1
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)