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Limon Black Star vs Cariari Pococi Prediction & H2H Stats

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Wed, Jan 28, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Limon Black Star host Cariari Pococi in the Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026. Little to choose between these two on current form. Limon Black Star have averaged 1.8 scored and 1.1 conceded recently, against Cariari Pococi's 1.46 scored and 1.29 conceded. Past meetings favor Cariari Pococi slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 4, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Cariari Pococi to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Limon Black Star
25%
Draws
35%
Cariari Pococi
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Limon Black Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Limon Black Star haven't matched Cariari Pococi's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Limon Black Star a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Limon Black Star Clean Sheet 20%
Cariari Pococi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Limon Black Star Cariari Pococi
Matches Played 10 28
Wins 5 9
Draws 3 11
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 1.8 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Limon Black Star
0:0
Jan 28, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Limon Black Star vs Cariari Pococi
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Limon Black Star vs Cariari Pococi
0:0
Aug 17, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Limon Black Star
0:0
Mar 16, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Limon Black Star
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Limon Black Star 42 / 100
Cariari Pococi 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Limon Black Star Cariari Pococi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cariari Pococi has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 0.20 goals.

Difficult form: Cariari Pococi registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Limon Black Star VS Cariari Pococi
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Limon Black Star

(Home)

Cariari Pococi

(Away)
29 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1
CS Uruguay
24 Sept
Cariari Pococi
2 : 1
Pitbulls
22 Sept
Pitbulls
1 : 0
Cariari Pococi
13 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1
Carmelita
06 Sept
Aserri
1 : 1
Cariari Pococi
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 14 9 3 2 25:12 30
2 Inter San Carlos 14 8 4 2 25:14 28
3 Quepos FC 14 9 1 4 30:21 28
4 Santa Cruz 14 4 5 5 19:17 17
5 Grecia 14 4 5 5 16:18 17
6 AD Sarchi 14 4 5 5 19:23 17
7 Cofutpa 14 2 4 8 14:27 10
8 Dep. Upala 14 0 5 9 15:31 5
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 10 2 2 33:10 32
2 CS Uruguay 14 7 2 5 25:20 23
3 Pitbulls 14 6 4 4 20:16 22
4 FC Moravia 14 5 4 5 19:19 19
5 Cariari Pococi 14 3 6 5 19:23 15
6 Aserri 14 2 8 4 15:28 14
7 Santa Ana 13 3 3 7 19:28 12
8 Carmelita 13 2 5 6 10:16 11
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)