Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Limon Black Star vs Carmelita

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Sun, Nov 9, 2025
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Limon Black Star play Carmelita in the Liga de Ascenso. Limon Black Star are favorites here. Recently, Limon Black Star averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Carmelita averaged 1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Limon Black Star won 0, Carmelita won 1, and they drew 4. Their last match on Apr 5, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Limon Black Star and 1.00 for Carmelita. This points to a Limon Black Star double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Limon Black Star
25%
Draws
15%
Carmelita
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Limon Black Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Limon Black Star picked up more points recently compared to Carmelita.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Limon Black Star Clean Sheet 23%
Carmelita Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Limon Black Star Carmelita
Matches Played 10 26
Wins 5 5
Draws 3 10
Losses 2 11
Goals Scored 1.8 1
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs Limon Black Star
0:0
Feb 22, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Limon Black Star vs Carmelita
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Limon Black Star vs Carmelita
0:0
Sep 21, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs Limon Black Star
0:0
Mar 31, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
Carmelita vs Limon Black Star
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Limon Black Star 59 / 100
Carmelita 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Limon Black Star Carmelita

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Limon Black Star Win (1)
Secondary Pick Limon Black Star & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +20.8%
3.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Limon Black Star attacking → ← attacking Carmelita

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carmelita let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 0.60 goals.

Carmelita lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 25
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Inter San Carlos1493222:1230
2ADR Jicaral1475223:1126
3Quepos Cambute1455418:1720
4Cofutpa1453623:2418
5AD Sarchi1446415:1718
6Dep. Upala1444622:2316
7Santa Cruz1434710:2013
8Grecia1432922:3111
9Municipal Turrialba00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Escorpiones1494131:1831
2Consultants Desamparados1474325:1825
3Cariari Pococi1446425:1818
4Carmelita1446414:1418
5Santa Ana1446416:1718
6CS Uruguay1435615:2414
7Pitbulls1426610:1512
8Aserri1433811:2312
9Limon Black Star00000:00